flight turbulence forecast

JL185 turbulence forecast

Japan Airlines · Tokyo (HND) to Kanazawa (KMQ)

Next departure at its usual time · Sat 7 Nov, 07:00 Tokyo time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air JL185 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchModerate

Bumpy in places. The belt sign may come on for a while. Airliners are designed for much stronger turbulence than this.

HND07:00Tokyo
1h
KMQ08:00Kanazawa
Model run 6 Nov, 06:00 UTC · checked just now
HNDKMQ
SmoothLightModerateSevere The line is the planned route of JL185, coloured by its own forecast. The shading is the bumpy air and storms forecast at cruise height around the middle of the flight.
Bumpiest stretch
Moderate
Flight time
1h
Distance
318 km
Cruise altitude
28,000 ft
Weather models
3 blended
Model agreement
High
Aircraft
Boeing 737-800

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

HND · Take off0m – 9mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

The first minutes are flown through the lowest, liveliest air. Sun-warmed ground sends up thermals and wind bends around hills, so a bump or two while climbing is normal. It fades as the aircraft climbs into the smoother air above.

Cruise9m – 1hModerate

Mountain waves

Wind blowing over a mountain range makes waves in the air downstream, the way water ripples over rocks in a stream, and those waves can reach cruising height. They are forecast from the same wind and terrain data used here, so the crew knows where they are before departure.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add JL185 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

The aircraft

What JL185 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Boeing 737-800

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

The airline

Japan Airlines

Flying since
1951
Alliance
Oneworld
Hubs
Tokyo Haneda, Tokyo Narita
Country
Japan

Japan Airlines safety record →

on your lock screen

JL185 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Tokyo (HND) → Kanazawa (KMQ)

Distance
318 km
Flight time
1h
Usual departure
07:00 local
Usual arrival
08:00 local

Forecast any other route →

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 3 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The independent weather models behind this forecast agree on this ride.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of JL185 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about JL185

Will JL185 be bumpy?

For the flight on Sat 7 Nov: Bumpy in places. The belt sign may come on for a while. Airliners are designed for much stronger turbulence than this. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

How long is JL185?

About 1h gate to gate from Tokyo to Kanazawa, a distance of about 318 km.

What time does JL185 leave?

JL185 usually departs Tokyo at 07:00 local time and arrives in Kanazawa at 08:00 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on JL185?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly JL185 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

JL185Moderate