flight turbulence forecast

B61485 turbulence forecast

JetBlue · New York (JFK) to Raleigh/Durham (RDU)

The forecast for its last flight, Wed 14 Oct

We have no upcoming B61485 departure on record, so this is the forecast its most recent flight carried.

Bumpiest stretchLight

Smooth most of the way, with light bumps mainly after takeoff. Barely moves your drink.

JFK15:45New York
1h 54m
RDU17:29Raleigh/Durham
Model run 14 Oct, 12:00 UTC
JFKRDU
SmoothLightModerateSevere The planned route of B61485, coloured stretch by stretch by its forecast.
Bumpiest stretch
Light
Flight time
1h 54m
Distance
687 km
Cruise altitude
33,000 ft
Weather models
4 blended
Model agreement
High
Aircraft
Airbus A220

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 1h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

JFK · Take off0m – 12mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

The first minutes are flown through the lowest, liveliest air. Sun-warmed ground sends up thermals and wind bends around hills, so a bump or two while climbing is normal. It fades as the aircraft climbs into the smoother air above.

Cruise12m – 52mLight

Reported by pilots

A pilot flying this stretch recently radioed in some bumps. That report reaches your crew too, and it is one of the reasons they may pick a different altitude for a smoother ride.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise52m – 1h 54mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add B61485 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest B61485 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

B61485 · Wed 14 OctArrived · 20 min early
Departs · JFK
15:45
Scheduled 15:55 · Terminal 5
Arrives · RDU
17:29
Scheduled 17:49 · Terminal 2

Last update 22 days ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What B61485 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Airbus A220-300

Type code
BCS3
Seats on this flight
140
First flew
2013
In service since
2016
Economy seating
2-3
Engines
2
Range
6,300 km
Cabin pressure equal to
8,000 ft

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Airbus A220 safety record →

The airline

JetBlue

Flying since
1998
Hubs
New York JFK, Boston, Fort Lauderdale
Country
United States

JetBlue safety record →

on your lock screen

B61485 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

New York (JFK) → Raleigh/Durham (RDU)

Distance
687 km
Flight time
1h 54m
Usual departure
15:55 local
Usual arrival
17:49 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent B61485 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Wed 14 Oct A220 Light 20 min early

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 4 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The independent weather models behind this forecast agree on this ride.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of B61485 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about B61485

Will B61485 be bumpy?

Forecasts for B61485 open about three days before departure. Until then no weather model reaches far enough ahead to say anything honest about the ride.

What plane flies B61485?

Recently B61485 has been flown with: Airbus A220. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is B61485?

About 1h 54m gate to gate from New York to Raleigh/Durham, a distance of about 687 km.

What time does B61485 leave?

B61485 usually departs New York at 15:55 local time and arrives in Raleigh/Durham at 17:49 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on B61485?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly B61485 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

B61485Light