flight turbulence forecast

YW2485 turbulence forecast

Air Nostrum · Menorca (MAH) to Palma de Mallorca (PMI)

Next departure at its usual time · Fri 6 Nov, 12:25 Menorca time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air YW2485 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchSmooth

Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view.

MAH12:25Menorca
50m
PMI13:15Palma de Mallorca
Model run 5 Nov, 18:00 UTC · checked just now
MAHPMI
SmoothLightModerateSevere The line is the planned route of YW2485, coloured by its own forecast. The shading is the bumpy air and storms forecast at cruise height around the middle of the flight.
Bumpiest stretch
Smooth
Flight time
50m
Distance
132 km
Cruise altitude
28,000 ft
Weather models
3 blended
Model agreement
High
Aircraft
ATR 42/72

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 50mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add YW2485 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest YW2485 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

YW2485 · Sat 31 OctArrived · 10 min early
Departs · MAH
12:15
Scheduled 12:25
Arrives · PMI
13:05
Scheduled 13:15

Last update 6 days ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What YW2485 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

ATR 72

Type code
AT75
Seats on this flight
72
First flew
1984
In service since
1985
Economy seating
2-2
Engines
2
Range
1,370 km

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

ATR 42/72 safety record →

The airline

Air Nostrum

Air Nostrum operates YW2485.

on your lock screen

YW2485 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Menorca (MAH) → Palma de Mallorca (PMI)

Distance
132 km
Flight time
50m
Usual departure
12:25 local
Usual arrival
13:15 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent YW2485 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Sat 31 Oct ATR 72 Smooth 10 min early

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 3 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The independent weather models behind this forecast agree on this ride.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of YW2485 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about YW2485

Will YW2485 be bumpy?

For the flight on Fri 6 Nov: Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies YW2485?

Recently YW2485 has been flown with: ATR 42/72. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is YW2485?

About 50m gate to gate from Menorca to Palma de Mallorca, a distance of about 132 km.

What time does YW2485 leave?

YW2485 usually departs Menorca at 12:25 local time and arrives in Palma de Mallorca at 13:15 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on YW2485?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly YW2485 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

YW2485Smooth