XQ595 turbulence forecast
SunExpress · Manchester (MAN) to Antalya (AYT)
The forecast for its last flight, Wed 14 Oct
We have no upcoming XQ595 departure on record, so this is the forecast its most recent flight carried.
Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view.
- Bumpiest stretch
- Smooth
- Flight time
- 4h 30m
- Distance
- 3,133 km
- Cruise altitude
- 37,000 ft
- Weather models
- 3 blended
- Model agreement
- High
- Aircraft
- Boeing 737 MAX
Bumpiness along the flight
Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.
Where, and why
The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.
Cruise0m – 4h 21mSmooth
Nothing significant forecast here.
At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.
Thunderstorms near the route
From 3h 31m to 4h 18m into the flight the forecast has thunderstorms about 40 km from the planned line.
The ride line can stay calm with storms nearby. It follows the planned track at cruise height, above most storm tops. Pilots don't fly through storms: the weather radar in the nose shows each one, and the rule is to stay at least 20 nautical miles (about 37 km) away. Usually that means a detour of a few minutes.
The closest of these is within the 20 nm the crew has to keep, so expect a small turn around it. The line on the map is the planned route; the real track will bend around the storm.
This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.
A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add XQ595 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.
Flight status
The latest XQ595 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.
Last update 22 days ago
Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.
The aircraft
What XQ595 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.
Boeing 737
- Type code
- B38M
- Seats on this flight
- 189
- First flew
- 2016
- In service since
- 2017
- Economy seating
- 3-3
- Engines
- 2
- Range
- 6,480 km
- Cabin pressure equal to
- 8,000 ft
Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.
The airline
SunExpress
SunExpress operates XQ595.
The route
Manchester (MAN) → Antalya (AYT)
- Distance
- 3,133 km
- Flight time
- 4h 30m
- Usual departure
- 18:25 local
- Usual arrival
- 00:55 local
Recent XQ595 flights
The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.
| Date | Aircraft | Forecast | How it ran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 14 Oct | 737 MAX | Smooth | 5 min early |
What each level feels like
- Smooth
- Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
- Light
- Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
- Moderate
- Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
- Severe
- Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.
How this forecast is made
The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 3 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.
The independent weather models behind this forecast agree on this ride.
Planned route · timing and conditions may change.
Why turbulence isn't dangerous
Aircraft are designed for much worse.
Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.
Crews know where it is.
Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.
Keep your belt on.
Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.
Questions about XQ595
Will XQ595 be bumpy?
Forecasts for XQ595 open about three days before departure. Until then no weather model reaches far enough ahead to say anything honest about the ride.
What plane flies XQ595?
Recently XQ595 has been flown with: Boeing 737 MAX. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.
How long is XQ595?
About 4h 30m gate to gate from Manchester to Antalya, a distance of about 3,133 km.
What time does XQ595 leave?
XQ595 usually departs Manchester at 18:25 local time and arrives in Antalya at 00:55 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.
Is turbulence dangerous on XQ595?
Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.
How accurate is this turbulence forecast?
It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.
Fly XQ595 knowing what's ahead
The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.