flight turbulence forecast

XC8124 turbulence forecast

XC · Antalya (AYT) to Hanover (HAJ)

Next departure at its usual time · Thu 22 Oct, 16:30 Antalya time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air XC8124 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchSmooth

Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view.

AYT16:30Antalya
3h 50m
HAJ19:20Hanover
Model run 22 Oct, 12:00 UTC · checked just now
AYTHAJ
SmoothLightModerateSevere The planned route of XC8124, coloured stretch by stretch by its forecast.
Bumpiest stretch
Smooth
Flight time
3h 50m
Distance
2,390 km
Cruise altitude
35,000 ft
Weather models
3 blended
Model agreement
High
Aircraft
Boeing 737 NG

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 1h2h3h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 3h 50mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add XC8124 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest XC8124 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

XC8124 · Mon 19 OctArrived · 17 min early
Departs · AYT
16:35
Scheduled 16:30
Arrives · HAJ
19:03
Scheduled 19:20

Last update 3 days ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What XC8124 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Boeing 737-800

Type code
B738
Seats on this flight
189
First flew
1997
In service since
1998
Economy seating
3-3
Engines
2
Cabin pressure equal to
8,000 ft

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Boeing 737 NG safety record →

The airline

XC

XC operates XC8124.

on your lock screen

XC8124 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Antalya (AYT) → Hanover (HAJ)

Distance
2,390 km
Flight time
3h 50m
Usual departure
16:30 local
Usual arrival
19:20 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent XC8124 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Mon 19 Oct 737-800 Moderate 17 min early

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 3 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The independent weather models behind this forecast agree on this ride.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of XC8124 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about XC8124

Will XC8124 be bumpy?

For the flight on Thu 22 Oct: Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies XC8124?

Recently XC8124 has been flown with: Boeing 737 NG. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is XC8124?

About 3h 50m gate to gate from Antalya to Hanover, a distance of about 2,390 km.

What time does XC8124 leave?

XC8124 usually departs Antalya at 16:30 local time and arrives in Hanover at 19:20 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on XC8124?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly XC8124 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

XC8124Smooth