flight turbulence forecast

XC9566 turbulence forecast

XC · Antalya (AYT) to Tallinn (TLL)

Thu 22 Oct · departs 22:40 Antalya time

Bumpiest stretchSmooth

Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view.

AYT22:40Antalya
4h 10m
TLL02:30Tallinn
Model run 22 Oct, 12:00 UTC · checked just now
AYTTLL
SmoothLightModerateSevere The line is the planned route of XC9566, coloured by its own forecast. The shading is the bumpy air and storms forecast at cruise height around the middle of the flight.
Bumpiest stretch
Smooth
Flight time
4h 10m
Distance
2,543 km
Cruise altitude
37,000 ft
Weather models
3 blended
Model agreement
High
Aircraft
Boeing 737 NG

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 1h2h3h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 4h 10mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add XC9566 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest XC9566 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

XC9566 · Thu 22 OctScheduled
Departs · AYT
22:40
Scheduled 22:30
Arrives · TLL
02:30
Scheduled 02:40

Last update 2 h ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

Weather on arrival

8° and overcast in Tallinn around landing time.

The aircraft

What XC9566 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Boeing 737-800

Type code
B738
First flew
1997
In service since
1998
Economy seating
3-3
Engines
2
Cabin pressure equal to
8,000 ft

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Boeing 737 NG safety record →

The airline

XC

XC operates XC9566.

on your lock screen

XC9566 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Antalya (AYT) → Tallinn (TLL)

Distance
2,543 km
Flight time
4h 10m
Usual departure
22:30 local
Usual arrival
02:40 local

Forecast any other route →

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 3 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The independent weather models behind this forecast agree on this ride.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of XC9566 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about XC9566

Will XC9566 be bumpy?

For the flight on Thu 22 Oct: Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies XC9566?

Recently XC9566 has been flown with: Boeing 737 NG. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is XC9566?

About 4h 10m gate to gate from Antalya to Tallinn, a distance of about 2,543 km.

What time does XC9566 leave?

XC9566 usually departs Antalya at 22:30 local time and arrives in Tallinn at 02:40 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on XC9566?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly XC9566 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

XC9566Smooth