flight turbulence forecast

XC134 turbulence forecast

XC · Antalya (AYT) to Greven (FMO)

Next departure at its usual time · Fri 23 Oct, 22:50 Antalya time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air XC134 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchLight

Smooth most of the way, with some light bumps on descent. Barely moves your drink.

AYT22:50Antalya
4h
FMO01:50Greven
Model run 22 Oct, 12:00 UTC · checked just now
AYTFMO
SmoothLightModerateSevere The planned route of XC134, coloured stretch by stretch by its forecast.
Bumpiest stretch
Light
Flight time
4h
Distance
2,478 km
Cruise altitude
35,000 ft
Weather models
3 blended
Model agreement
High
Aircraft
Airbus A320 family

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 1h2h3h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 2h 42mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise2h 42m – 3h 13mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise3h 13m – 3h 44mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Descent into Greven3h 44m – 4hLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

Coming down means flying back through the low, lively air near the ground: afternoon thermals, gusts around the airport. It is the busiest part of the flight for the crew, and the part they train for most.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add XC134 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest XC134 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

XC134 · Thu 15 OctArrived · 8 min late
Departs · AYT
23:19
Scheduled 22:50 · Terminal 2
Arrives · FMO
01:58
Scheduled 01:50

Last update 7 days ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What XC134 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Airbus A320

Type code
A320
Seats on this flight
180
First flew
1987
In service since
1988
Economy seating
3-3
Engines
2
Cabin pressure equal to
8,000 ft

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Airbus A320 family safety record →

The airline

XC

XC operates XC134.

on your lock screen

XC134 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Antalya (AYT) → Greven (FMO)

Distance
2,478 km
Flight time
4h
Usual departure
22:50 local
Usual arrival
01:50 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent XC134 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Thu 15 Oct A320 Moderate 8 min late

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 3 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The independent weather models behind this forecast agree on this ride.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of XC134 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about XC134

Will XC134 be bumpy?

For the flight on Fri 23 Oct: Smooth most of the way, with some light bumps on descent. Barely moves your drink. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies XC134?

Recently XC134 has been flown with: Airbus A320 family. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is XC134?

About 4h gate to gate from Antalya to Greven, a distance of about 2,478 km.

What time does XC134 leave?

XC134 usually departs Antalya at 22:50 local time and arrives in Greven at 01:50 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on XC134?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly XC134 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

XC134Light