flight turbulence forecast

OO3202 turbulence forecast

SkyWest · Santa Rosa (STS) to Phoenix (PHX)

Next departure at its usual time · Fri 6 Nov, 11:51 Santa Rosa time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air OO3202 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchLight

Smooth most of the way, with light bumps mainly mid-flight. Barely moves your drink.

STS11:51Santa Rosa
2h 13m
PHX15:04Phoenix
Model run 6 Nov, 00:00 UTC · checked just now
STSPHX
SmoothLightModerateSevere The line is the planned route of OO3202, coloured by its own forecast. The shading is the bumpy air and storms forecast at cruise height around the middle of the flight.
Bumpiest stretch
Light
Flight time
2h 13m
Distance
1,123 km
Cruise altitude
35,000 ft
Weather models
4 blended
Model agreement
Medium
Aircraft
Embraer E-Jets

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 1h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 1h 6mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise1h 7m – 2h 13mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add OO3202 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest OO3202 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

OO3202 · Thu 5 NovArrived · On time
Departs · STS
11:43
Scheduled 11:51
Arrives · PHX
15:00
Scheduled 15:04 · Terminal 3

Last update 7 h ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What OO3202 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Embraer 175

Type code
E175
Seats on this flight
76
First flew
2002
In service since
2004
Economy seating
2-2
Engines
2
Range
4,537 km

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Embraer E-Jets safety record →

The airline

SkyWest

SkyWest operates OO3202.

on your lock screen

OO3202 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Santa Rosa (STS) → Phoenix (PHX)

Distance
1,123 km
Flight time
2h 13m
Usual departure
11:51 local
Usual arrival
15:04 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent OO3202 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Thu 5 Nov E-Jet Moderate On time

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 4 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The weather models behind this forecast mostly agree; the bumpy patches may shift a little.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of OO3202 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about OO3202

Will OO3202 be bumpy?

For the flight on Fri 6 Nov: Smooth most of the way, with light bumps mainly mid-flight. Barely moves your drink. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies OO3202?

Recently OO3202 has been flown with: Embraer E-Jets. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is OO3202?

About 2h 13m gate to gate from Santa Rosa to Phoenix, a distance of about 1,123 km.

What time does OO3202 leave?

OO3202 usually departs Santa Rosa at 11:51 local time and arrives in Phoenix at 15:04 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on OO3202?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly OO3202 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

OO3202Light