flight turbulence forecast

MU5155 turbulence forecast

China Eastern Airlines · Shanghai (PVG) to Beijing (PEK)

Next departure at its usual time · Tue 6 Oct, 10:30 Shanghai time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air MU5155 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchLight

Mostly smooth. About 65 minutes of light bumps after takeoff. Barely moves your drink.

PVG10:30Shanghai
2h 30m
PEK13:00Beijing
Model run 4 Oct, 12:00 UTC · checked just now
PVGPEK
SmoothLightModerateSevere The planned route of MU5155, coloured stretch by stretch by its forecast.
Bumpiest stretch
Light
Flight time
2h 30m
Distance
1,101 km
Cruise altitude
35,000 ft
Weather models
3 blended
Model agreement
Medium
Aircraft
Airbus A320 family

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 1h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

PVG · Take off0m – 16mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

The first minutes are flown through the lowest, liveliest air. Sun-warmed ground sends up thermals and wind bends around hills, so a bump or two while climbing is normal. It fades as the aircraft climbs into the smoother air above.

Cruise16m – 29mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It is the most common kind of turbulence and it never comes as a surprise: it is on the crew's charts, and they slow to a set turbulence speed and let the aircraft ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a river of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast maps exactly where those edges sit.

Cruise29m – 49mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a river of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast maps exactly where those edges sit.

Cruise49m – 1h 41mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It is the most common kind of turbulence and it never comes as a surprise: it is on the crew's charts, and they slow to a set turbulence speed and let the aircraft ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a river of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast maps exactly where those edges sit.

Descent into Beijing1h 41m – 2h 30mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

Coming down means flying back through the low, lively air near the ground: afternoon thermals, gusts around the airport. It is the busiest part of the flight for the crew, and the part they train for most.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add MU5155 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest MU5155 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

MU5155 · Mon 5 OctScheduled
Departs · PVG
10:30
Shanghai · Terminal 1
Arrives · PEK
13:00
Beijing · Terminal 2

Last update 7 min ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What MU5155 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Airbus A320neo

Type code
A20N
First flew
1987
In service since
1988
Economy seating
3-3
Engines
2
Cabin pressure equal to
8,000 ft

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, but every airliner is built for far more than turbulence produces.

Airbus A320 family safety record →

The airline

China Eastern Airlines

China Eastern Airlines operates MU5155.

on your lock screen

MU5155 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Shanghai (PVG) → Beijing (PEK)

Distance
1,101 km
Flight time
2h 30m
Usual departure
10:30 local
Usual arrival
13:00 local

Forecast any other route →

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Distinct bumps. A drink might slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, and the aircraft is in full control throughout.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. Rare, and the reason the belt sign exists: crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 3 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The weather models behind this forecast mostly agree; the bumpy patches may shift a little.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of MU5155 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why the bumps are only bumps

Built for it.

Airliners are tested to loads far beyond anything turbulence produces; the wing flexing you can see is by design.

Seen in advance.

Your crew flies with forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of the bumpy air.

The belt is the whole story.

Turbulence injuries almost always involve someone standing or unbuckled. Seated with the belt on, it is a bumpy road and nothing more.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about MU5155

Will MU5155 be bumpy?

For the flight on Tue 6 Oct: Mostly smooth. About 65 minutes of light bumps after takeoff. Barely moves your drink. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies MU5155?

Recently MU5155 has been flown with: Airbus A320 family. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is MU5155?

About 2h 30m gate to gate from Shanghai to Beijing, a distance of about 1,101 km.

What time does MU5155 leave?

MU5155 usually departs Shanghai at 10:30 local time and arrives in Beijing at 13:00 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on MU5155?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly MU5155 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

MU5155Light