flight turbulence forecast

KE411 turbulence forecast

Korean Air · Seoul (Incheon) (ICN) to Auckland (AKL)

Next departure at its usual time · Sat 7 Nov, 18:25 Seoul (Incheon) time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air KE411 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchLight

Smooth most of the way, with occasional light bumps after takeoff. Barely moves your drink.

ICN18:25Seoul (Incheon)
11h 30m
AKL09:55Auckland
Model run 6 Nov, 12:00 UTC · checked just now
ICNAKL
SmoothLightModerateSevere The line is the planned route of KE411, coloured by its own forecast. The shading is the bumpy air and storms forecast at cruise height around the middle of the flight.
Bumpiest stretch
Light
Flight time
11h 30m
Distance
9,667 km
Cruise altitude
37,000 ft
Weather models
3 blended
Model agreement
High
Aircraft
Boeing 787 Dreamliner

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 2h4h6h8h10h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 1h 9mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise1h 9m – 11h 30mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

A tropical cyclone near the route

Thirtyone (Typhoon, category td) is forecast to be about 190 km from the aircraft around 2h 50m into the flight, at its closest.

Tropical cyclones are tracked for days by official warning centres, and airlines plan routes, altitudes and timings around them before departure. The air can be bumpy well beyond the storm's centre, which is why the crew may keep the seatbelt sign on for longer near one.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add KE411 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest KE411 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

KE411 · Fri 6 NovIn flight · 62 min late
Departs · ICN
19:40
Scheduled 18:25 · Terminal 2
Arrives · AKL
10:57
Scheduled 09:55 · Terminal I

Last update 1 h ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What KE411 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Boeing 787-10

Type code
B78X
First flew
2009
In service since
2011
Economy seating
3-3-3
Engines
2
Range
15,370 km
Cabin pressure equal to
6,000 ft

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Boeing 787 Dreamliner safety record →

The airline

Korean Air

Flying since
1969
Alliance
SkyTeam
Hubs
Seoul Incheon, Seoul Gimpo
Country
South Korea

Korean Air safety record →

on your lock screen

KE411 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Seoul (Incheon) (ICN) → Auckland (AKL)

Distance
9,667 km
Flight time
11h 30m
Usual departure
18:25 local
Usual arrival
09:55 local

Forecast any other route →

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 3 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The independent weather models behind this forecast agree on this ride.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of KE411 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about KE411

Will KE411 be bumpy?

For the flight on Sat 7 Nov: Smooth most of the way, with occasional light bumps after takeoff. Barely moves your drink. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies KE411?

Recently KE411 has been flown with: Boeing 787 Dreamliner. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is KE411?

About 11h 30m gate to gate from Seoul (Incheon) to Auckland, a distance of about 9,667 km.

What time does KE411 leave?

KE411 usually departs Seoul (Incheon) at 18:25 local time and arrives in Auckland at 09:55 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on KE411?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly KE411 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

KE411Light