flight turbulence forecast

CX239 turbulence forecast

Cathay Pacific · Hong Kong (HKG) to London (LHR)

Next departure at its usual time · Sun 8 Nov, 10:40 Hong Kong time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air CX239 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchLight

Smooth most of the way, with occasional light bumps mid-flight. Barely moves your drink.

HKG10:40Hong Kong
14h 40m
LHR17:20London
Model run 6 Nov, 12:00 UTC · checked just now
HKGLHR
SmoothLightModerateSevere The planned route of CX239, coloured stretch by stretch by its forecast.
Bumpiest stretch
Light
Flight time
14h 40m
Distance
9,640 km
Cruise altitude
37,000 ft
Weather models
3 blended
Model agreement
High
Aircraft
Airbus A350

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 2h4h6h8h10h12h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 7h 39mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise7h 39m – 8h 32mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise8h 32m – 14h 40mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Thunderstorms near the route

Around 1h 1m into the flight the forecast has thunderstorms about 80 km from the planned line.

The ride line can stay calm with storms nearby. It follows the planned track at cruise height, above most storm tops. Pilots don't fly through storms: the weather radar in the nose shows each one, and the rule is to stay at least 20 nautical miles (about 37 km) away. Usually that means a detour of a few minutes.

The ride line stays calm here because the route as planned keeps its distance from them.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add CX239 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest CX239 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

CX239 · Wed 4 NovArrived · 24 min early
Departs · HKG
10:40
Hong Kong · Terminal 1
Arrives · LHR
16:56
Scheduled 17:20 · Terminal 3

Last update 2 days ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What CX239 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Airbus A350-1000

Type code
A35K
First flew
2013
In service since
2015
Economy seating
3-3-3
Engines
2
Range
15,750 km
Cabin pressure equal to
6,000 ft

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Airbus A350 safety record →

The airline

Cathay Pacific

Flying since
1946
Alliance
Oneworld
Hubs
Hong Kong
Country
Hong Kong

Cathay Pacific safety record →

on your lock screen

CX239 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Hong Kong (HKG) → London (LHR)

Distance
9,640 km
Flight time
14h 40m
Usual departure
10:40 local
Usual arrival
17:20 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent CX239 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Wed 4 Nov A350 Light 24 min early

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 3 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The independent weather models behind this forecast agree on this ride.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of CX239 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about CX239

Will CX239 be bumpy?

For the flight on Sun 8 Nov: Smooth most of the way, with occasional light bumps mid-flight. Barely moves your drink. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies CX239?

Recently CX239 has been flown with: Airbus A350. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is CX239?

About 14h 40m gate to gate from Hong Kong to London, a distance of about 9,640 km.

What time does CX239 leave?

CX239 usually departs Hong Kong at 10:40 local time and arrives in London at 17:20 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on CX239?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly CX239 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

CX239Light