flight turbulence forecast

BY2776 turbulence forecast

Thomsonfly · Manchester, Greater Manchester (MAN) to Tenerife (TFS)

Sun 8 Nov · departs 10:50 Manchester, Greater Manchester time

Bumpiest stretchLight

A gentle ride. A few light ripples at most, the kind that barely move your drink.

MAN10:50Manchester, Greater Manchester
4h 30m
TFS15:20Tenerife
Model run 6 Nov, 00:00 UTC · checked just now
MANTFS
SmoothLightModerateSevere The planned route of BY2776, coloured stretch by stretch by its forecast.
Bumpiest stretch
Light
Flight time
4h 30m
Cruise altitude
35,000 ft
Aircraft
Boeing 737 MAX

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 1h2h3h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

MAN · Take off0m – 41mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

The first minutes are flown through the lowest, liveliest air. Sun-warmed ground sends up thermals and wind bends around hills, so a bump or two while climbing is normal. It fades as the aircraft climbs into the smoother air above.

Cruise41m – 1h 51mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise1h 52m – 2h 15mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise2h 15m – 3h 2mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise3h 2m – 4h 30mLight

Mountain waves

Wind blowing over a mountain range makes waves in the air downstream, the way water ripples over rocks in a stream, and those waves can reach cruising height. They are forecast from the same wind and terrain data used here, so the crew knows where they are before departure.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add BY2776 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest BY2776 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

BY2776 · Sun 8 NovScheduled
Departs · MAN
10:50
Manchester, Greater Manchester
Arrives · TFS
15:20
Tenerife

Last update 45 h ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

Weather on arrival

24° and light showers in Tenerife around landing time.

The aircraft

What BY2776 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Boeing 737 MAX 8

Type code
B38M
Seats on this flight
189
First flew
2016
In service since
2017
Economy seating
3-3
Engines
2
Range
6,480 km
Cabin pressure equal to
8,000 ft

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Boeing 737 MAX safety record →

The airline

Thomsonfly

Thomsonfly operates BY2776.

on your lock screen

BY2776 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Manchester, Greater Manchester (MAN) → Tenerife (TFS)

Flight time
4h 30m
Usual departure
10:50 local
Usual arrival
15:20 local

Forecast any other route →

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through a global weather model, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of BY2776 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about BY2776

Will BY2776 be bumpy?

For the flight on Sun 8 Nov: A gentle ride. A few light ripples at most, the kind that barely move your drink. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies BY2776?

Recently BY2776 has been flown with: Boeing 737 MAX. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is BY2776?

About 4h 30m gate to gate from Manchester, Greater Manchester to Tenerife.

What time does BY2776 leave?

BY2776 usually departs Manchester, Greater Manchester at 10:50 local time and arrives in Tenerife at 15:20 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on BY2776?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly BY2776 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

BY2776Light