flight turbulence forecast

BY134 turbulence forecast

Thomsonfly · Manchester (MAN) to Punta Cana (PUJ)

The forecast for its last flight, Sat 10 Oct

We have no upcoming BY134 departure on record, so this is the forecast its most recent flight carried.

Bumpiest stretchLight

Smooth most of the way, with some light bumps after takeoff. Barely moves your drink.

MAN11:39Manchester
8h 45m
PUJ14:39Punta Cana
Model run 10 Oct, 12:00 UTC
MANPUJ
SmoothLightModerateSevere The planned route of BY134, coloured stretch by stretch by its forecast.
Bumpiest stretch
Light
Flight time
8h 45m
Distance
6,838 km
Cruise altitude
37,000 ft
Weather models
3 blended
Model agreement
Medium
Aircraft
Boeing 787 Dreamliner

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 1h2h3h4h5h6h7h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 3h 13mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise3h 13m – 8h 45mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Thunderstorms near the route

From 1h 32m to 2h 3m into the flight the forecast has thunderstorms about 70 km from the planned line.

The ride line can stay calm with storms nearby. It follows the planned track at cruise height, above most storm tops. Pilots don't fly through storms: the weather radar in the nose shows each one, and the rule is to stay at least 20 nautical miles (about 37 km) away. Usually that means a detour of a few minutes.

The ride line stays calm here because the route as planned keeps its distance from them.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add BY134 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest BY134 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

BY134 · Sat 10 OctArrived · 6 min early
Departs · MAN
11:39
Scheduled 11:00
Arrives · PUJ
14:39
Scheduled 14:45

Last update 26 days ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What BY134 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Boeing 787-9

Type code
B789
Seats on this flight
345
First flew
2009
In service since
2011
Economy seating
3-3-3
Engines
2
Range
15,370 km
Cabin pressure equal to
6,000 ft

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Boeing 787 Dreamliner safety record →

The airline

Thomsonfly

Thomsonfly operates BY134.

on your lock screen

BY134 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Manchester (MAN) → Punta Cana (PUJ)

Distance
6,838 km
Flight time
8h 45m
Usual departure
11:00 local
Usual arrival
14:45 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent BY134 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Sat 10 Oct 787 Light 6 min early

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 3 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The weather models behind this forecast mostly agree; the bumpy patches may shift a little.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of BY134 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about BY134

Will BY134 be bumpy?

Forecasts for BY134 open about three days before departure. Until then no weather model reaches far enough ahead to say anything honest about the ride.

What plane flies BY134?

Recently BY134 has been flown with: Boeing 787 Dreamliner. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is BY134?

About 8h 45m gate to gate from Manchester to Punta Cana, a distance of about 6,838 km.

What time does BY134 leave?

BY134 usually departs Manchester at 11:00 local time and arrives in Punta Cana at 14:45 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on BY134?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly BY134 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

BY134Light