flight turbulence forecast

AZ807 turbulence forecast

ITA Airways · Tel Aviv (TLV) to Rome (FCO)

Next departure at its usual time · Fri 6 Nov, 14:30 Tel Aviv time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air AZ807 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchSmooth

Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view.

TLV14:30Tel Aviv
3h 50m
FCO17:20Rome
Model run 5 Nov, 18:00 UTC · checked just now
TLVFCO
SmoothLightModerateSevere The line is the planned route of AZ807, coloured by its own forecast. The shading is the bumpy air and storms forecast at cruise height around the middle of the flight.
Bumpiest stretch
Smooth
Flight time
3h 50m
Distance
2,282 km
Cruise altitude
35,000 ft
Weather models
3 blended
Model agreement
High
Aircraft
Airbus A320 family

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 1h2h3h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 3h 50mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Thunderstorms near the route

From 3h 20m to 3h 30m into the flight the forecast has thunderstorms about 30 km from the planned line.

The ride line can stay calm with storms nearby. It follows the planned track at cruise height, above most storm tops. Pilots don't fly through storms: the weather radar in the nose shows each one, and the rule is to stay at least 20 nautical miles (about 37 km) away. Usually that means a detour of a few minutes.

The closest of these is within the 20 nm the crew has to keep, so expect a small turn around it. The line on the map is the planned route; the real track will bend around the storm.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add AZ807 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest AZ807 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

AZ807 · Wed 4 NovArrived · 21 min late
Departs · TLV
15:07
Scheduled 14:30 · Terminal 3
Arrives · FCO
17:41
Scheduled 17:20 · Terminal 3

Last update 34 h ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What AZ807 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Airbus A321 NEO

Type code
A21N
First flew
1987
In service since
1988
Economy seating
3-3
Engines
2
Cabin pressure equal to
8,000 ft

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Airbus A320 family safety record →

The airline

ITA Airways

Flying since
2020
Alliance
Star Alliance
Hubs
Rome Fiumicino, Milan Linate
Country
Italy

ITA Airways safety record →

on your lock screen

AZ807 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Tel Aviv (TLV) → Rome (FCO)

Distance
2,282 km
Flight time
3h 50m
Usual departure
14:30 local
Usual arrival
17:20 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent AZ807 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Wed 4 Nov A320 Light 21 min late

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 3 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The independent weather models behind this forecast agree on this ride.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of AZ807 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about AZ807

Will AZ807 be bumpy?

For the flight on Fri 6 Nov: Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies AZ807?

Recently AZ807 has been flown with: Airbus A320 family. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is AZ807?

About 3h 50m gate to gate from Tel Aviv to Rome, a distance of about 2,282 km.

What time does AZ807 leave?

AZ807 usually departs Tel Aviv at 14:30 local time and arrives in Rome at 17:20 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on AZ807?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly AZ807 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

AZ807Smooth