flight turbulence forecast

AZ641 turbulence forecast

ITA Airways · San Francisco (SFO) to Rome (FCO)

Next departure at its usual time · Fri 6 Nov, 15:05 San Francisco time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air AZ641 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchLight

Smooth most of the way, with occasional light bumps after takeoff. Barely moves your drink.

SFO15:05San Francisco
12h 10m
FCO12:15Rome
Model run 5 Nov, 18:00 UTC · checked just now
SFOFCO
SmoothLightModerateSevere The planned route of AZ641, coloured stretch by stretch by its forecast.
Bumpiest stretch
Light
Flight time
12h 10m
Distance
10,068 km
Cruise altitude
37,000 ft
Weather models
4 blended
Model agreement
High
Aircraft
Airbus A330

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 2h4h6h8h10h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 1h 32mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise1h 32m – 2h 16mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise2h 16m – 11h 26mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Descent into Rome11h 26m – 12h 10mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

Coming down means flying back through the low, lively air near the ground: afternoon thermals, gusts around the airport. It is the busiest part of the flight for the crew, and the part they train for most.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add AZ641 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest AZ641 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

AZ641 · Tue 3 NovScheduled
Departs · SFO
15:35
Scheduled 15:05 · Terminal I
Arrives · FCO
12:45
Scheduled 12:15 · Terminal 3

Last update 2 days ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What AZ641 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Airbus A330

Type code
A330
Seats on this flight
281

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

The airline

ITA Airways

Flying since
2020
Alliance
Star Alliance
Hubs
Rome Fiumicino, Milan Linate
Country
Italy

ITA Airways safety record →

on your lock screen

AZ641 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

San Francisco (SFO) → Rome (FCO)

Distance
10,068 km
Flight time
12h 10m
Usual departure
15:05 local
Usual arrival
12:15 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent AZ641 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Tue 3 Nov A330 Light 30 min late

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 4 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The independent weather models behind this forecast agree on this ride.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of AZ641 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about AZ641

Will AZ641 be bumpy?

For the flight on Fri 6 Nov: Smooth most of the way, with occasional light bumps after takeoff. Barely moves your drink. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies AZ641?

Recently AZ641 has been flown with: A330. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is AZ641?

About 12h 10m gate to gate from San Francisco to Rome, a distance of about 10,068 km.

What time does AZ641 leave?

AZ641 usually departs San Francisco at 15:05 local time and arrives in Rome at 12:15 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on AZ641?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly AZ641 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

AZ641Light