flight turbulence forecast

AF1269 turbulence forecast

Air France · Manchester, Greater Manchester (MAN) to Paris (CDG)

Next departure at its usual time · Sun 8 Nov, 06:00 Manchester, Greater Manchester time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air AF1269 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchSmooth

Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view.

MAN06:00Manchester, Greater Manchester
1h 40m
CDG08:40Paris
Model run 6 Nov, 00:00 UTC · checked just now
MANCDG
SmoothLightModerateSevere The planned route of AF1269, coloured stretch by stretch by its forecast.
Bumpiest stretch
Smooth
Flight time
1h 40m
Distance
588 km
Cruise altitude
33,000 ft
Aircraft
Airbus A220

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 1h 40mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Thunderstorms near the route

From 48m to 1h 23m into the flight the forecast has thunderstorms about 30 km from the planned line.

The ride line can stay calm with storms nearby. It follows the planned track at cruise height, above most storm tops. Pilots don't fly through storms: the weather radar in the nose shows each one, and the rule is to stay at least 20 nautical miles (about 37 km) away. Usually that means a detour of a few minutes.

The closest of these is within the 20 nm the crew has to keep, so expect a small turn around it. The line on the map is the planned route; the real track will bend around the storm.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add AF1269 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest AF1269 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

AF1269 · Sun 25 OctArrived · 6 min late
Departs · MAN
06:18
Scheduled 06:00 · Terminal 2
Arrives · CDG
08:46
Scheduled 08:40 · Terminal 2E

Last update 12 days ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What AF1269 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Airbus A220-300

Type code
BCS3
Seats on this flight
148
First flew
2013
In service since
2016
Economy seating
2-3
Engines
2
Range
6,300 km
Cabin pressure equal to
8,000 ft

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Airbus A220 safety record →

The airline

Air France

Flying since
1933
Alliance
SkyTeam
Hubs
Paris Charles de Gaulle
Country
France

Air France safety record →

on your lock screen

AF1269 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Manchester, Greater Manchester (MAN) → Paris (CDG)

Distance
588 km
Flight time
1h 40m
Usual departure
06:00 local
Usual arrival
08:40 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent AF1269 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Sun 25 Oct A220 Light 6 min late

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through a global weather model, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of AF1269 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about AF1269

Will AF1269 be bumpy?

For the flight on Sun 8 Nov: Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies AF1269?

Recently AF1269 has been flown with: Airbus A220. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is AF1269?

About 1h 40m gate to gate from Manchester, Greater Manchester to Paris, a distance of about 588 km.

What time does AF1269 leave?

AF1269 usually departs Manchester, Greater Manchester at 06:00 local time and arrives in Paris at 08:40 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on AF1269?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly AF1269 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

AF1269Smooth