flight turbulence forecast

AF1266 turbulence forecast

Air France · Paris (CDG) to Florence (Firenze) (FLR)

The forecast for its last flight, Thu 15 Oct

We have no upcoming AF1266 departure on record, so this is the forecast its most recent flight carried.

Bumpiest stretchSmooth

Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view.

CDG21:24Paris
1h 40m
FLR23:13Florence (Firenze)
Model run 15 Oct, 12:00 UTC
CDGFLR
SmoothLightModerateSevere The planned route of AF1266, coloured stretch by stretch by its forecast.
Bumpiest stretch
Smooth
Flight time
1h 40m
Distance
880 km
Cruise altitude
33,000 ft
Weather models
3 blended
Model agreement
High
Aircraft
Airbus A220

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 1h 40mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add AF1266 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest AF1266 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

AF1266 · Thu 15 OctArrived · 28 min late
Departs · CDG
21:24
Scheduled 21:05 · Terminal 2F
Arrives · FLR
23:13
Scheduled 22:45

Last update 21 days ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What AF1266 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Airbus A220-300

Type code
BCS3
Seats on this flight
148
First flew
2013
In service since
2016
Economy seating
2-3
Engines
2
Range
6,300 km
Cabin pressure equal to
8,000 ft

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Airbus A220 safety record →

The airline

Air France

Flying since
1933
Alliance
SkyTeam
Hubs
Paris Charles de Gaulle
Country
France

Air France safety record →

on your lock screen

AF1266 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Paris (CDG) → Florence (Firenze) (FLR)

Distance
880 km
Flight time
1h 40m
Usual departure
21:05 local
Usual arrival
22:45 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent AF1266 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Thu 15 Oct A220 Smooth 28 min late

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 3 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The independent weather models behind this forecast agree on this ride.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of AF1266 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about AF1266

Will AF1266 be bumpy?

Forecasts for AF1266 open about three days before departure. Until then no weather model reaches far enough ahead to say anything honest about the ride.

What plane flies AF1266?

Recently AF1266 has been flown with: Airbus A220. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is AF1266?

About 1h 40m gate to gate from Paris to Florence (Firenze), a distance of about 880 km.

What time does AF1266 leave?

AF1266 usually departs Paris at 21:05 local time and arrives in Florence (Firenze) at 22:45 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on AF1266?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly AF1266 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

AF1266Smooth