flight turbulence forecast

AF1212 turbulence forecast

Air France · Paris (CDG) to Milan (LIN)

Next departure at its usual time · Tue 10 Nov, 07:10 Paris time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air AF1212 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchSmooth

Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view.

CDG07:10Paris
1h 35m
LIN08:45Milan
Model run 7 Nov, 18:00 UTC · checked just now
CDGLIN
SmoothLightModerateSevere The planned route of AF1212, coloured stretch by stretch by its forecast.
Bumpiest stretch
Smooth
Flight time
1h 35m
Distance
644 km
Cruise altitude
33,000 ft
Aircraft
Airbus A320 family

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 1h 35mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Thunderstorms near the route

From 29m to 1h 2m into the flight the forecast has thunderstorms on the planned line itself.

The ride line can stay calm with storms nearby. It follows the planned track at cruise height, above most storm tops. Pilots don't fly through storms: the weather radar in the nose shows each one, and the rule is to stay at least 20 nautical miles (about 37 km) away. Usually that means a detour of a few minutes.

The closest of these is within the 20 nm the crew has to keep, so expect a small turn around it. The line on the map is the planned route; the real track will bend around the storm.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add AF1212 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest AF1212 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

AF1212 · Sun 8 NovScheduled
Departs · CDG
07:10
Paris · Terminal 2F
Arrives · LIN
08:45
Milan

Last update 3 h ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What AF1212 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Airbus A319

Type code
A319
First flew
1987
In service since
1988
Economy seating
3-3
Engines
2
Cabin pressure equal to
8,000 ft

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Airbus A320 family safety record →

The airline

Air France

Flying since
1933
Alliance
SkyTeam
Hubs
Paris Charles de Gaulle
Country
France

Air France safety record →

on your lock screen

AF1212 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Paris (CDG) → Milan (LIN)

Distance
644 km
Flight time
1h 35m
Usual departure
07:10 local
Usual arrival
08:45 local

Forecast any other route →

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through a global weather model, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of AF1212 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about AF1212

Will AF1212 be bumpy?

For the flight on Tue 10 Nov: Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies AF1212?

Recently AF1212 has been flown with: Airbus A320 family. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is AF1212?

About 1h 35m gate to gate from Paris to Milan, a distance of about 644 km.

What time does AF1212 leave?

AF1212 usually departs Paris at 07:10 local time and arrives in Milan at 08:45 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on AF1212?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly AF1212 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

AF1212Smooth