flight turbulence forecast

AC95 turbulence forecast

Air Canada · Bogota (BOG) to Toronto (YYZ)

Next departure at its usual time · Mon 9 Nov, 09:00 Bogota time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air AC95 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchLight

Smooth most of the way, with some light bumps on descent. Barely moves your drink.

BOG09:00Bogota
6h
YYZ16:00Toronto
Model run 7 Nov, 12:00 UTC · checked just now
BOGYYZ
SmoothLightModerateSevere The planned route of AC95, coloured stretch by stretch by its forecast.
Bumpiest stretch
Light
Flight time
6h
Distance
4,371 km
Cruise altitude
37,000 ft
Weather models
3 blended
Model agreement
High
Aircraft
Boeing 787 Dreamliner

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 1h2h3h4h5h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 4h 34mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise4h 34m – 6hLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add AC95 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest AC95 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

AC95 · Mon 26 OctArrived · 21 min early
Departs · BOG
08:58
Scheduled 09:00 · Terminal 1
Arrives · YYZ
15:39
Scheduled 16:00 · Terminal 1

Last update 12 days ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What AC95 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Boeing 787-8

Type code
B788
Seats on this flight
255
First flew
2009
In service since
2011
Economy seating
3-3-3
Engines
2
Range
15,370 km
Cabin pressure equal to
6,000 ft

Recently flown with: Boeing 787 Dreamliner, Airbus A330.

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Boeing 787 Dreamliner safety record →

The airline

Air Canada

Flying since
1937
Alliance
Star Alliance
Hubs
Toronto Pearson, Montréal, Vancouver
Country
Canada

Air Canada safety record →

on your lock screen

AC95 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Bogota (BOG) → Toronto (YYZ)

Distance
4,371 km
Flight time
6h
Usual departure
09:00 local
Usual arrival
16:00 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent AC95 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Mon 26 Oct 787 Moderate 21 min early
Mon 12 Oct A330 Light 13 min early
Sun 11 Oct A330 Light 19 min early

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 3 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The independent weather models behind this forecast agree on this ride.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of AC95 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about AC95

Will AC95 be bumpy?

For the flight on Mon 9 Nov: Smooth most of the way, with some light bumps on descent. Barely moves your drink. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies AC95?

Recently AC95 has been flown with: Boeing 787 Dreamliner, Airbus A330. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is AC95?

About 6h gate to gate from Bogota to Toronto, a distance of about 4,371 km.

What time does AC95 leave?

AC95 usually departs Bogota at 09:00 local time and arrives in Toronto at 16:00 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on AC95?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly AC95 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

AC95Light