flight turbulence forecast

YX4681 turbulence forecast

Midwest Airlines · Key West (EYW) to Washington (DCA)

Next departure at its usual time · Sat 7 Nov, 14:02 Key West time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air YX4681 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchSmooth

Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view.

EYW14:02Key West
2h 57m
DCA16:59Washington
Model run 6 Nov, 12:00 UTC · checked just now
EYWDCA
SmoothLightModerateSevere The planned route of YX4681, coloured stretch by stretch by its forecast.
Bumpiest stretch
Smooth
Flight time
2h 57m
Distance
1,653 km
Cruise altitude
35,000 ft
Weather models
4 blended
Model agreement
High
Aircraft
Embraer E-Jets

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 1h2h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 2h 57mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add YX4681 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest YX4681 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

YX4681 · Sat 17 OctArrived · 34 min early
Departs · EYW
13:52
Scheduled 14:02
Arrives · DCA
16:25
Scheduled 16:59 · Terminal 2

Last update 20 days ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What YX4681 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Embraer 175

Type code
E175
Seats on this flight
76
First flew
2002
In service since
2004
Economy seating
2-2
Engines
2
Range
4,537 km

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Embraer E-Jets safety record →

The airline

Midwest Airlines

Midwest Airlines operates YX4681.

on your lock screen

YX4681 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Key West (EYW) → Washington (DCA)

Distance
1,653 km
Flight time
2h 57m
Usual departure
14:02 local
Usual arrival
16:59 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent YX4681 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Sat 17 Oct E-Jet Light 34 min early

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 4 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The independent weather models behind this forecast agree on this ride.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of YX4681 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about YX4681

Will YX4681 be bumpy?

For the flight on Sat 7 Nov: Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies YX4681?

Recently YX4681 has been flown with: Embraer E-Jets. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is YX4681?

About 2h 57m gate to gate from Key West to Washington, a distance of about 1,653 km.

What time does YX4681 leave?

YX4681 usually departs Key West at 14:02 local time and arrives in Washington at 16:59 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on YX4681?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly YX4681 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

YX4681Smooth