flight turbulence forecast

YX3492 turbulence forecast

Midwest Airlines · Chicago (ORD) to Rochester (ROC)

Next departure at its usual time · Sat 7 Nov, 10:35 Chicago time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air YX3492 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchSmooth

Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view.

ORD10:35Chicago
1h 57m
ROC13:32Rochester
Model run 6 Nov, 06:00 UTC · checked just now
ORDROC
SmoothLightModerateSevere The planned route of YX3492, coloured stretch by stretch by its forecast.
Bumpiest stretch
Smooth
Flight time
1h 57m
Distance
848 km
Cruise altitude
33,000 ft
Weather models
4 blended
Model agreement
High
Aircraft
Embraer E-Jets

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 1h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 1h 57mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Thunderstorms near the route

From 1h 16m to 1h 32m into the flight the forecast has thunderstorms about 80 km from the planned line.

The ride line can stay calm with storms nearby. It follows the planned track at cruise height, above most storm tops. Pilots don't fly through storms: the weather radar in the nose shows each one, and the rule is to stay at least 20 nautical miles (about 37 km) away. Usually that means a detour of a few minutes.

The ride line stays calm here because the route as planned keeps its distance from them.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add YX3492 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest YX3492 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

YX3492 · Wed 4 NovArrived · 6 min early
Departs · ORD
10:29
Scheduled 10:35 · Terminal 1
Arrives · ROC
13:26
Scheduled 13:32

Last update 43 h ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What YX3492 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Embraer 175

Type code
E175
Seats on this flight
76
First flew
2002
In service since
2004
Economy seating
2-2
Engines
2
Range
4,537 km

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Embraer E-Jets safety record →

The airline

Midwest Airlines

Midwest Airlines operates YX3492.

on your lock screen

YX3492 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Chicago (ORD) → Rochester (ROC)

Distance
848 km
Flight time
1h 57m
Usual departure
10:35 local
Usual arrival
13:32 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent YX3492 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Wed 4 Nov E-Jet Moderate 6 min early

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 4 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The independent weather models behind this forecast agree on this ride.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of YX3492 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about YX3492

Will YX3492 be bumpy?

For the flight on Sat 7 Nov: Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies YX3492?

Recently YX3492 has been flown with: Embraer E-Jets. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is YX3492?

About 1h 57m gate to gate from Chicago to Rochester, a distance of about 848 km.

What time does YX3492 leave?

YX3492 usually departs Chicago at 10:35 local time and arrives in Rochester at 13:32 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on YX3492?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly YX3492 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

YX3492Smooth