flight turbulence forecast

XQ141 turbulence forecast

SunExpress · Frankfurt am Main (FRA) to Antalya (AYT)

Next departure at its usual time · Sat 7 Nov, 13:45 Frankfurt am Main time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air XQ141 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchSmooth

Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view.

FRA13:45Frankfurt am Main
3h 30m
AYT19:15Antalya
Model run 6 Nov, 06:00 UTC · checked just now
FRAAYT
SmoothLightModerateSevere The planned route of XQ141, coloured stretch by stretch by its forecast.
Bumpiest stretch
Smooth
Flight time
3h 30m
Distance
2,300 km
Cruise altitude
35,000 ft
Weather models
3 blended
Model agreement
High
Aircraft
Boeing 737 MAX

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 1h2h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 3h 30mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add XQ141 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest XQ141 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

XQ141 · Mon 2 NovArrived · 12 min early
Departs · FRA
13:40
Scheduled 13:45 · Terminal 1
Arrives · AYT
19:03
Scheduled 19:15 · Terminal 2

Last update 4 days ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What XQ141 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Boeing 737 MAX 8

Type code
B38M
Seats on this flight
189
First flew
2016
In service since
2017
Economy seating
3-3
Engines
2
Range
6,480 km
Cabin pressure equal to
8,000 ft

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Boeing 737 MAX safety record →

The airline

SunExpress

SunExpress operates XQ141.

on your lock screen

XQ141 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Frankfurt am Main (FRA) → Antalya (AYT)

Distance
2,300 km
Flight time
3h 30m
Usual departure
13:45 local
Usual arrival
19:15 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent XQ141 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Mon 2 Nov 737 MAX Light 12 min early

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 3 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The independent weather models behind this forecast agree on this ride.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of XQ141 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about XQ141

Will XQ141 be bumpy?

For the flight on Sat 7 Nov: Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies XQ141?

Recently XQ141 has been flown with: Boeing 737 MAX. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is XQ141?

About 3h 30m gate to gate from Frankfurt am Main to Antalya, a distance of about 2,300 km.

What time does XQ141 leave?

XQ141 usually departs Frankfurt am Main at 13:45 local time and arrives in Antalya at 19:15 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on XQ141?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly XQ141 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

XQ141Smooth