flight turbulence forecast

WN1462 turbulence forecast

Southwest Airlines · Little Rock (LIT) to Denver (DEN)

Next departure at its usual time · Fri 2 Oct, 15:45 Little Rock time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air WN1462 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchModerate

Mostly smooth. About 15 minutes of moderate bumps after takeoff. Belt sign on, built for far more.

LIT15:45Little Rock
2h 10m
DEN16:55Denver
Model run 1 Oct, 00:00 UTC · checked just now
LITDEN
SmoothLightModerateSevere The planned route of WN1462, coloured stretch by stretch by its forecast.
Bumpiest stretch
Moderate
Flight time
2h 10m
Distance
1,239 km
Cruise altitude
35,000 ft
Weather models
2 blended
Model agreement
Medium
Aircraft
Boeing 737 MAX

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 1h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

LIT · Take off0m – 20mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It is the most common kind of turbulence and it never comes as a surprise: it is on the crew's charts, and they slow to a set turbulence speed and let the aircraft ride it out.

The first minutes are flown through the lowest, liveliest air. Sun-warmed ground sends up thermals and wind bends around hills, so a bump or two while climbing is normal. It fades as the aircraft climbs into the smoother air above.

Cruise20m – 37mModerate

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It is the most common kind of turbulence and it never comes as a surprise: it is on the crew's charts, and they slow to a set turbulence speed and let the aircraft ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a river of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast maps exactly where those edges sit.

Cruise37m – 54mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It is the most common kind of turbulence and it never comes as a surprise: it is on the crew's charts, and they slow to a set turbulence speed and let the aircraft ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a river of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast maps exactly where those edges sit.

Cruise54m – 2h 10mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a river of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast maps exactly where those edges sit.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add WN1462 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest WN1462 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

WN1462 · Thu 17 SepArrived · 21 min late
Departs · LIT
16:17
Scheduled 15:45
Arrives · DEN
17:11
Scheduled 16:55

Last update 13 days ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What WN1462 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Boeing 737 MAX 8

Type code
B38M
First flew
2016
In service since
2017
Economy seating
3-3
Engines
2
Range
6,480 km
Cabin pressure equal to
8,000 ft

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, but every airliner is built for far more than turbulence produces.

Boeing 737 MAX safety record →

The airline

Southwest Airlines

Flying since
1967
Country
United States

Southwest Airlines safety record →

on your lock screen

WN1462 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Little Rock (LIT) → Denver (DEN)

Distance
1,239 km
Flight time
2h 10m
Usual departure
15:45 local
Usual arrival
16:55 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent WN1462 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Thu 17 Sep 737 MAX Light 21 min late

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Distinct bumps. A drink might slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, and the aircraft is in full control throughout.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. Rare, and the reason the belt sign exists: crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 2 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The weather models behind this forecast mostly agree; the bumpy patches may shift a little.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of WN1462 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why the bumps are only bumps

Built for it.

Airliners are tested to loads far beyond anything turbulence produces; the wing flexing you can see is by design.

Seen in advance.

Your crew flies with forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of the bumpy air.

The belt is the whole story.

Turbulence injuries almost always involve someone standing or unbuckled. Seated with the belt on, it is a bumpy road and nothing more.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about WN1462

Will WN1462 be bumpy?

For the flight on Fri 2 Oct: Mostly smooth. About 15 minutes of moderate bumps after takeoff. Belt sign on, built for far more. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies WN1462?

Recently WN1462 has been flown with: Boeing 737 MAX. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is WN1462?

About 2h 10m gate to gate from Little Rock to Denver, a distance of about 1,239 km.

What time does WN1462 leave?

WN1462 usually departs Little Rock at 15:45 local time and arrives in Denver at 16:55 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on WN1462?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly WN1462 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

WN1462Moderate