flight turbulence forecast

WN1278 turbulence forecast

Southwest Airlines · Columbus (CMH) to Tampa (TPA)

Next departure at its usual time · Thu 5 Nov, 22:00 Columbus time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air WN1278 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchLight

Smooth most of the way, with some light bumps after takeoff. Barely moves your drink.

CMH22:00Columbus
2h 20m
TPA00:20Tampa
Model run 5 Nov, 18:00 UTC · checked just now
CMHTPA
SmoothLightModerateSevere The line is the planned route of WN1278, coloured by its own forecast. The shading is the bumpy air and storms forecast at cruise height around the middle of the flight.
Bumpiest stretch
Light
Flight time
2h 20m
Distance
1,339 km
Cruise altitude
35,000 ft
Weather models
4 blended
Model agreement
High
Aircraft
Boeing 737 MAX

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 1h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

CMH · Take off0m – 40mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

The first minutes are flown through the lowest, liveliest air. Sun-warmed ground sends up thermals and wind bends around hills, so a bump or two while climbing is normal. It fades as the aircraft climbs into the smoother air above.

Cruise40m – 1h 16mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise1h 16m – 1h 27mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise1h 27m – 1h 35mLight

Reported by pilots

A pilot flying this stretch recently radioed in some bumps. That report reaches your crew too, and it is one of the reasons they may pick a different altitude for a smoother ride.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Descent into Tampa1h 35m – 2h 20mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

Coming down means flying back through the low, lively air near the ground: afternoon thermals, gusts around the airport. It is the busiest part of the flight for the crew, and the part they train for most.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add WN1278 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest WN1278 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

WN1278 · Mon 26 OctArrived · 29 min late
Departs · CMH
22:45
Scheduled 22:00
Arrives · TPA
00:49
Scheduled 00:20

Last update 10 days ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What WN1278 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Boeing 737 MAX 8

Type code
B38M
First flew
2016
In service since
2017
Economy seating
3-3
Engines
2
Range
6,480 km
Cabin pressure equal to
8,000 ft

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Boeing 737 MAX safety record →

The airline

Southwest Airlines

Flying since
1967
Country
United States

Southwest Airlines safety record →

on your lock screen

WN1278 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Columbus (CMH) → Tampa (TPA)

Distance
1,339 km
Flight time
2h 20m
Usual departure
22:00 local
Usual arrival
00:20 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent WN1278 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Mon 26 Oct 737 MAX Smooth 29 min late

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 4 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The independent weather models behind this forecast agree on this ride.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of WN1278 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about WN1278

Will WN1278 be bumpy?

For the flight on Thu 5 Nov: Smooth most of the way, with some light bumps after takeoff. Barely moves your drink. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies WN1278?

Recently WN1278 has been flown with: Boeing 737 MAX. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is WN1278?

About 2h 20m gate to gate from Columbus to Tampa, a distance of about 1,339 km.

What time does WN1278 leave?

WN1278 usually departs Columbus at 22:00 local time and arrives in Tampa at 00:20 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on WN1278?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly WN1278 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

WN1278Light