flight turbulence forecast

VS22 turbulence forecast

Virgin Atlantic · Washington (IAD) to London (LHR)

Next departure at its usual time · Fri 6 Nov, 22:05 Washington time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air VS22 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchModerate

Smooth or light most of the way, with occasional moderate bumps mid-flight. The belt sign will likely come on.

IAD22:05Washington
7h 35m
LHR10:40London
Model run 5 Nov, 18:00 UTC · checked just now
IADLHR
SmoothLightModerateSevere The planned route of VS22, coloured stretch by stretch by its forecast.
Bumpiest stretch
Moderate
Flight time
7h 35m
Distance
5,943 km
Cruise altitude
37,000 ft
Weather models
4 blended
Model agreement
Medium
Aircraft
Airbus A330

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 1h2h3h4h5h6h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 3h 16mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise3h 16m – 3h 48mModerate

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise3h 47m – 4h 19mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise4h 19m – 7h 35mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Thunderstorms near the route

Between 1h 3m and 3h 40m into the flight the forecast has a few thunderstorms, some on the planned line itself.

The ride line can stay calm with storms nearby. It follows the planned track at cruise height, above most storm tops. Pilots don't fly through storms: the weather radar in the nose shows each one, and the rule is to stay at least 20 nautical miles (about 37 km) away. Usually that means a detour of a few minutes.

The closest of these is within the 20 nm the crew has to keep, so expect a small turn around it. The line on the map is the planned route; the real track will bend around the storm.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add VS22 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest VS22 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

VS22 · Sat 17 OctArrived · 55 min early
Departs · IAD
21:59
Scheduled 22:05
Arrives · LHR
09:45
Scheduled 10:40 · Terminal 3

Last update 19 days ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What VS22 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Airbus A330

Type code
A330
Seats on this flight
262

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

The airline

Virgin Atlantic

Flying since
1984
Alliance
SkyTeam
Hubs
London Heathrow, Manchester
Country
United Kingdom

Virgin Atlantic safety record →

on your lock screen

VS22 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Washington (IAD) → London (LHR)

Distance
5,943 km
Flight time
7h 35m
Usual departure
22:05 local
Usual arrival
10:40 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent VS22 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Sat 17 Oct A330 Moderate 55 min early

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 4 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The weather models behind this forecast mostly agree; the bumpy patches may shift a little.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of VS22 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about VS22

Will VS22 be bumpy?

For the flight on Fri 6 Nov: Smooth or light most of the way, with occasional moderate bumps mid-flight. The belt sign will likely come on. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies VS22?

Recently VS22 has been flown with: A330. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is VS22?

About 7h 35m gate to gate from Washington to London, a distance of about 5,943 km.

What time does VS22 leave?

VS22 usually departs Washington at 22:05 local time and arrives in London at 10:40 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on VS22?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly VS22 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

VS22Moderate