TS538 turbulence forecast
Air Transat · Montreal (YUL) to Cancun (CUN)
Next departure at its usual time · Sun 8 Nov, 07:20 Montreal time
This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air TS538 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.
Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view.
- Bumpiest stretch
- Smooth
- Flight time
- 4h 55m
- Distance
- 2,972 km
- Cruise altitude
- 37,000 ft
- Weather models
- 4 blended
- Model agreement
- High
- Aircraft
- Airbus A330
Bumpiness along the flight
Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.
Where, and why
The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.
Cruise0m – 4h 55mSmooth
Nothing significant forecast here.
At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.
This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.
A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add TS538 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.
Flight status
The latest TS538 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.
Last update 31 h ago
Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.
The aircraft
What TS538 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.
Airbus A330-200
- Type code
- A332
- Seats on this flight
- 345
- First flew
- 1992
- In service since
- 1994
- Economy seating
- 2-4-2
- Engines
- 2
- Range
- 11,750 km
- Cabin pressure equal to
- 8,000 ft
Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.
The airline
Air Transat
Air Transat operates TS538.
The route
Montreal (YUL) → Cancun (CUN)
- Distance
- 2,972 km
- Flight time
- 4h 55m
- Usual departure
- 07:20 local
- Usual arrival
- 12:15 local
Recent TS538 flights
The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.
| Date | Aircraft | Forecast | How it ran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 6 Nov | A330 | Light | 20 min early |
What each level feels like
- Smooth
- Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
- Light
- Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
- Moderate
- Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
- Severe
- Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.
How this forecast is made
The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 4 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.
The independent weather models behind this forecast agree on this ride.
Planned route · timing and conditions may change.
Why turbulence isn't dangerous
Aircraft are designed for much worse.
Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.
Crews know where it is.
Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.
Keep your belt on.
Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.
Questions about TS538
Will TS538 be bumpy?
For the flight on Sun 8 Nov: Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.
What plane flies TS538?
Recently TS538 has been flown with: Airbus A330. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.
How long is TS538?
About 4h 55m gate to gate from Montreal to Cancun, a distance of about 2,972 km.
What time does TS538 leave?
TS538 usually departs Montreal at 07:20 local time and arrives in Cancun at 12:15 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.
Is turbulence dangerous on TS538?
Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.
How accurate is this turbulence forecast?
It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.
Fly TS538 knowing what's ahead
The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.