flight turbulence forecast

TR874 turbulence forecast

Scoot · Singapore (SIN) to Taipei (TPE)

The forecast for its last flight, Fri 23 Oct

We have no upcoming TR874 departure on record, so this is the forecast its most recent flight carried.

Bumpiest stretchModerate

Smooth most of the way, with occasional moderate bumps on descent. The belt sign will likely come on.

SIN09:30Singapore
4h 45m
TPE14:15Taipei
Model run 23 Oct, 00:00 UTC
SINTPE
SmoothLightModerateSevere The planned route of TR874, coloured stretch by stretch by its forecast.
Bumpiest stretch
Moderate
Flight time
4h 45m
Distance
3,225 km
Cruise altitude
37,000 ft
Weather models
3 blended
Model agreement
High
Aircraft
Boeing 787 Dreamliner

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 1h2h3h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 4h 26mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Descent into Taipei4h 27m – 4h 45mModerate

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

Coming down means flying back through the low, lively air near the ground: afternoon thermals, gusts around the airport. It is the busiest part of the flight for the crew, and the part they train for most.

Thunderstorms near the route

Between 1h 2m and 4h 45m into the flight the forecast has a few thunderstorms, the nearest about 40 km from the planned line.

The ride line can stay calm with storms nearby. It follows the planned track at cruise height, above most storm tops. Pilots don't fly through storms: the weather radar in the nose shows each one, and the rule is to stay at least 20 nautical miles (about 37 km) away. Usually that means a detour of a few minutes.

The closest of these is within the 20 nm the crew has to keep, so expect a small turn around it. The line on the map is the planned route; the real track will bend around the storm.

A tropical cyclone near the route

Champi (Typhoon, category cat2) is forecast to be about 280 km from the aircraft around 4h 45m into the flight, at its closest.

Tropical cyclones are tracked for days by official warning centres, and airlines plan routes, altitudes and timings around them before departure. The air can be bumpy well beyond the storm's centre, which is why the crew may keep the seatbelt sign on for longer near one.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add TR874 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest TR874 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

TR874 · Fri 23 OctCancelled
Departs · SIN
09:30
Singapore · Terminal 1
Arrives · TPE
14:15
Taipei · Terminal 1

Last update 14 days ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What TR874 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Boeing 787-9 Dreamliner

Type code
B789
Seats on this flight
375
First flew
2009
In service since
2011
Economy seating
3-3-3
Engines
2
Range
15,370 km
Cabin pressure equal to
6,000 ft

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Boeing 787 Dreamliner safety record →

The airline

Scoot

Scoot operates TR874.

on your lock screen

TR874 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Singapore (SIN) → Taipei (TPE)

Distance
3,225 km
Flight time
4h 45m
Usual departure
09:30 local
Usual arrival
14:15 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent TR874 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Fri 23 Oct 787 Moderate Cancelled

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 3 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The independent weather models behind this forecast agree on this ride.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of TR874 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about TR874

Will TR874 be bumpy?

Forecasts for TR874 open about three days before departure. Until then no weather model reaches far enough ahead to say anything honest about the ride.

What plane flies TR874?

Recently TR874 has been flown with: Boeing 787 Dreamliner. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is TR874?

About 4h 45m gate to gate from Singapore to Taipei, a distance of about 3,225 km.

What time does TR874 leave?

TR874 usually departs Singapore at 09:30 local time and arrives in Taipei at 14:15 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on TR874?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly TR874 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

TR874Moderate