flight turbulence forecast

RR102 turbulence forecast

RR · Madrid (MAD) to Kaunas (KUN)

Next departure at its usual time · Thu 1 Oct, 19:15 Madrid time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air RR102 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchSmooth

Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view.

MAD19:15Madrid
3h 55m
KUN00:10Kaunas
Model run 1 Oct, 00:00 UTC · checked just now
MADKUN
SmoothLightModerateSevere The line is the planned route of RR102, coloured by its own forecast. The shading is the bumpy air and storms forecast at cruise height around the middle of the flight.
Bumpiest stretch
Smooth
Flight time
3h 55m
Distance
2,594 km
Cruise altitude
37,000 ft
Weather models
3 blended
Model agreement
High
Aircraft
Boeing 737 NG

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 1h2h3h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 3h 55mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a river of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast maps exactly where those edges sit.

Thunderstorms near the route

From 1h 42m to 2h 3m into the flight the forecast has thunderstorms on the planned line itself.

Storms and a calm ride line are not a contradiction. The line follows the planned track at cruise height, above most storm tops, and pilots never fly through a storm: the weather radar in the nose paints every one, and the rule is to give it at least 20 nautical miles (about 37 km) of room. What a storm usually costs you is a few minutes of detour, not bumps.

The closest of these sits inside the 20 nm the crew has to leave, so what it costs is a small turn around it — the line you are looking at is the plan, not the track they will fly.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add RR102 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest RR102 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

RR102 · Wed 23 SepArrived · 35 min late
Departs · MAD
19:50
Scheduled 19:15 · Terminal 1
Arrives · KUN
00:26
Scheduled 00:10

Last update 7 days ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What RR102 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Boeing 737-800

Type code
B738
Seats on this flight
189
First flew
1997
In service since
1998
Economy seating
3-3
Engines
2
Cabin pressure equal to
8,000 ft

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, but every airliner is built for far more than turbulence produces.

Boeing 737 NG safety record →

The airline

RR

RR operates RR102.

on your lock screen

RR102 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Madrid (MAD) → Kaunas (KUN)

Distance
2,594 km
Flight time
3h 55m
Usual departure
19:15 local
Usual arrival
00:10 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent RR102 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Wed 23 Sep 737-800 Smooth 35 min late

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Distinct bumps. A drink might slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, and the aircraft is in full control throughout.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. Rare, and the reason the belt sign exists: crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 3 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The independent weather models behind this forecast agree on this ride.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of RR102 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why the bumps are only bumps

Built for it.

Airliners are tested to loads far beyond anything turbulence produces; the wing flexing you can see is by design.

Seen in advance.

Your crew flies with forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of the bumpy air.

The belt is the whole story.

Turbulence injuries almost always involve someone standing or unbuckled. Seated with the belt on, it is a bumpy road and nothing more.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about RR102

Will RR102 be bumpy?

For the flight on Thu 1 Oct: Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies RR102?

Recently RR102 has been flown with: Boeing 737 NG. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is RR102?

About 3h 55m gate to gate from Madrid to Kaunas, a distance of about 2,594 km.

What time does RR102 leave?

RR102 usually departs Madrid at 19:15 local time and arrives in Kaunas at 00:10 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on RR102?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly RR102 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

RR102Smooth