flight turbulence forecast

QX2089 turbulence forecast

Horizon Airlines · San Diego (SAN) to Phoenix (PHX)

Next departure at its usual time · Fri 6 Nov, 17:19 San Diego time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air QX2089 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchModerate

Smooth or light most of the way, with some moderate bumps after takeoff. The belt sign will likely come on.

SAN17:19San Diego
1h 21m
PHX19:40Phoenix
Model run 6 Nov, 12:00 UTC · checked just now
SANPHX
SmoothLightModerateSevere The line is the planned route of QX2089, coloured by its own forecast. The shading is the bumpy air and storms forecast at cruise height around the middle of the flight.
Bumpiest stretch
Moderate
Flight time
1h 21m
Distance
489 km
Cruise altitude
33,000 ft
Weather models
4 blended
Model agreement
Medium
Aircraft
Embraer E-Jets

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

SAN · Take off0m – 5mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

The first minutes are flown through the lowest, liveliest air. Sun-warmed ground sends up thermals and wind bends around hills, so a bump or two while climbing is normal. It fades as the aircraft climbs into the smoother air above.

Cruise5m – 16mLight

Mountain waves

Wind blowing over a mountain range makes waves in the air downstream, the way water ripples over rocks in a stream, and those waves can reach cruising height. They are forecast from the same wind and terrain data used here, so the crew knows where they are before departure.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise16m – 37mModerate

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise37m – 51mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Descent into Phoenix51m – 1h 21mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

Coming down means flying back through the low, lively air near the ground: afternoon thermals, gusts around the airport. It is the busiest part of the flight for the crew, and the part they train for most.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add QX2089 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest QX2089 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

QX2089 · Sun 11 OctArrived · 68 min late
Departs · PHX
08:21
Scheduled 07:38 · Terminal 3
Arrives · SAN
10:10
Scheduled 09:02 · Terminal 2

Last update 26 days ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What QX2089 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Embraer 175

Type code
E175
Seats on this flight
76
First flew
2002
In service since
2004
Economy seating
2-2
Engines
2
Range
4,537 km

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Embraer E-Jets safety record →

The airline

Horizon Airlines

Horizon Airlines operates QX2089.

on your lock screen

QX2089 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

San Diego (SAN) → Phoenix (PHX)

Distance
489 km
Flight time
1h 21m
Usual departure
17:19 local
Usual arrival
19:40 local

QX2089 has also flown: PHX-SAN.

Forecast any other route →

Recent QX2089 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Sun 11 Oct E-Jet Moderate 68 min late

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 4 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The weather models behind this forecast mostly agree; the bumpy patches may shift a little.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of QX2089 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about QX2089

Will QX2089 be bumpy?

For the flight on Fri 6 Nov: Smooth or light most of the way, with some moderate bumps after takeoff. The belt sign will likely come on. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies QX2089?

Recently QX2089 has been flown with: Embraer E-Jets. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is QX2089?

About 1h 21m gate to gate from San Diego to Phoenix, a distance of about 489 km.

What time does QX2089 leave?

QX2089 usually departs San Diego at 17:19 local time and arrives in Phoenix at 19:40 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on QX2089?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly QX2089 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

QX2089Moderate