flight turbulence forecast

IB404 turbulence forecast

Iberia · Barcelona (BCN) to Madrid (MAD)

Next departure at its usual time · Wed 7 Oct, 09:15 Barcelona time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air IB404 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchLight

Mostly smooth. About 30 minutes of light bumps after takeoff. Barely moves your drink.

BCN09:15Barcelona
1h 25m
MAD10:40Madrid
Model run 4 Oct, 12:00 UTC · checked just now
BCNMAD
SmoothLightModerateSevere The planned route of IB404, coloured stretch by stretch by its forecast.
Bumpiest stretch
Light
Flight time
1h 25m
Distance
483 km
Cruise altitude
33,000 ft
Aircraft
Airbus A320 family

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

BCN · Take off0m – 16mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

The first minutes are flown through the lowest, liveliest air. Sun-warmed ground sends up thermals and wind bends around hills, so a bump or two while climbing is normal. It fades as the aircraft climbs into the smoother air above.

Cruise16m – 21mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It is the most common kind of turbulence and it never comes as a surprise: it is on the crew's charts, and they slow to a set turbulence speed and let the aircraft ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a river of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast maps exactly where those edges sit.

Cruise21m – 28mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a river of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast maps exactly where those edges sit.

Cruise28m – 46mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It is the most common kind of turbulence and it never comes as a surprise: it is on the crew's charts, and they slow to a set turbulence speed and let the aircraft ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a river of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast maps exactly where those edges sit.

Cruise46m – 57mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a river of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast maps exactly where those edges sit.

Cruise57m – 1h 5mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It is the most common kind of turbulence and it never comes as a surprise: it is on the crew's charts, and they slow to a set turbulence speed and let the aircraft ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a river of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast maps exactly where those edges sit.

Descent into Madrid1h 5m – 1h 25mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

Coming down means flying back through the low, lively air near the ground: afternoon thermals, gusts around the airport. It is the busiest part of the flight for the crew, and the part they train for most.

Thunderstorms near the route

From 1h 3m to 1h 25m into the flight the forecast has thunderstorms about 80 km from the planned line.

Storms and a calm ride line are not a contradiction. The line follows the planned track at cruise height, above most storm tops, and pilots never fly through a storm: the weather radar in the nose paints every one, and the rule is to give it at least 20 nautical miles (about 37 km) of room. What a storm usually costs you is a few minutes of detour, not bumps.

The ride line stays calm here because the route as planned keeps its distance from them.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add IB404 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest IB404 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

IB404 · Fri 2 OctScheduled
Departs · BCN
09:15
Barcelona · Terminal 1
Arrives · MAD
10:34
Scheduled 10:40 · Terminal 4

Last update 3 days ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What IB404 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Airbus A320 NEO

Type code
A20N
Seats on this flight
186
First flew
1987
In service since
1988
Economy seating
3-3
Engines
2
Cabin pressure equal to
8,000 ft

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, but every airliner is built for far more than turbulence produces.

Airbus A320 family safety record →

The airline

Iberia

Flying since
1927
Alliance
oneworld
Hubs
Madrid-Barajas
Country
Spain

Iberia safety record →

on your lock screen

IB404 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Barcelona (BCN) → Madrid (MAD)

Distance
483 km
Flight time
1h 25m
Usual departure
09:15 local
Usual arrival
10:40 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent IB404 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Fri 2 Oct A320 Smooth 6 min early

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Distinct bumps. A drink might slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, and the aircraft is in full control throughout.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. Rare, and the reason the belt sign exists: crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through a global weather model, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of IB404 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why the bumps are only bumps

Built for it.

Airliners are tested to loads far beyond anything turbulence produces; the wing flexing you can see is by design.

Seen in advance.

Your crew flies with forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of the bumpy air.

The belt is the whole story.

Turbulence injuries almost always involve someone standing or unbuckled. Seated with the belt on, it is a bumpy road and nothing more.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about IB404

Will IB404 be bumpy?

For the flight on Wed 7 Oct: Mostly smooth. About 30 minutes of light bumps after takeoff. Barely moves your drink. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies IB404?

Recently IB404 has been flown with: Airbus A320 family. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is IB404?

About 1h 25m gate to gate from Barcelona to Madrid, a distance of about 483 km.

What time does IB404 leave?

IB404 usually departs Barcelona at 09:15 local time and arrives in Madrid at 10:40 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on IB404?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly IB404 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

IB404Light