flight turbulence forecast

EI107 turbulence forecast

Aer Lingus · Dublin (DUB) to New York (JFK)

Next departure at its usual time · Tue 10 Nov, 16:45 Dublin time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air EI107 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchLight

Smooth most of the way, with occasional light bumps on descent. Barely moves your drink.

DUB16:45Dublin
7h 44m
JFK20:29New York
Model run 7 Nov, 18:00 UTC · checked just now
DUBJFK
SmoothLightModerateSevere The planned route of EI107, coloured stretch by stretch by its forecast.
Bumpiest stretch
Light
Flight time
7h 44m
Distance
5,246 km
Cruise altitude
37,000 ft
Aircraft
Airbus A330

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 1h2h3h4h5h6h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 6h 50mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Descent into New York6h 50m – 7h 44mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

Coming down means flying back through the low, lively air near the ground: afternoon thermals, gusts around the airport. It is the busiest part of the flight for the crew, and the part they train for most.

Thunderstorms near the route

Around 5h 9m into the flight the forecast has thunderstorms about 40 km from the planned line.

The ride line can stay calm with storms nearby. It follows the planned track at cruise height, above most storm tops. Pilots don't fly through storms: the weather radar in the nose shows each one, and the rule is to stay at least 20 nautical miles (about 37 km) away. Usually that means a detour of a few minutes.

The ride line stays calm here because the route as planned keeps its distance from them.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add EI107 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest EI107 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

EI107 · Thu 29 OctArrived · 45 min early
Departs · DUB
16:38
Scheduled 16:45 · Terminal 2
Arrives · JFK
19:44
Scheduled 20:29 · Terminal 7

Last update 9 days ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What EI107 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Airbus A330

Type code
A330
Seats on this flight
317

Recently flown with: A330, Airbus A330.

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

The airline

Aer Lingus

Flying since
1936
Hubs
Dublin
Country
Ireland

Aer Lingus safety record →

on your lock screen

EI107 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Dublin (DUB) → New York (JFK)

Distance
5,246 km
Flight time
7h 44m
Usual departure
16:45 local
Usual arrival
20:29 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent EI107 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Thu 29 Oct A330 Moderate 45 min early
Fri 23 Oct A330 Moderate 23 min late

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through a global weather model, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of EI107 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about EI107

Will EI107 be bumpy?

For the flight on Tue 10 Nov: Smooth most of the way, with occasional light bumps on descent. Barely moves your drink. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies EI107?

Recently EI107 has been flown with: A330, Airbus A330. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is EI107?

About 7h 44m gate to gate from Dublin to New York, a distance of about 5,246 km.

What time does EI107 leave?

EI107 usually departs Dublin at 16:45 local time and arrives in New York at 20:29 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on EI107?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly EI107 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

EI107Light