flight turbulence forecast

CA828 turbulence forecast

Air China · Munich (MUC) to Shanghai (PVG)

Next departure at its usual time · Sun 8 Nov, 12:10 Munich time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air CA828 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchLight

Smooth most of the way, with some light bumps mid-flight. Barely moves your drink.

MUC12:10Munich
11h
PVG05:10Shanghai
Model run 6 Nov, 06:00 UTC · checked just now
MUCPVG
SmoothLightModerateSevere The planned route of CA828, coloured stretch by stretch by its forecast.
Bumpiest stretch
Light
Flight time
11h
Distance
8,787 km
Cruise altitude
37,000 ft
Aircraft
Airbus A350

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 2h4h6h8h10h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 4h 28mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise4h 29m – 5h 15mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise5h 14m – 9h 51mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise9h 51m – 11hLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Thunderstorms near the route

From 5h 7m to 5h 38m into the flight the forecast has thunderstorms about 30 km from the planned line.

The ride line can stay calm with storms nearby. It follows the planned track at cruise height, above most storm tops. Pilots don't fly through storms: the weather radar in the nose shows each one, and the rule is to stay at least 20 nautical miles (about 37 km) away. Usually that means a detour of a few minutes.

The closest of these is within the 20 nm the crew has to keep, so expect a small turn around it. The line on the map is the planned route; the real track will bend around the storm.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add CA828 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest CA828 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

CA828 · Wed 21 OctArrived · 13 min early
Departs · MUC
12:35
Scheduled 12:10 · Terminal 2
Arrives · PVG
04:57
Scheduled 05:10 · Terminal 2

Last update 16 days ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What CA828 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Airbus A350-900

Type code
A359
Seats on this flight
312
First flew
2013
In service since
2015
Economy seating
3-3-3
Engines
2
Range
15,750 km
Cabin pressure equal to
6,000 ft

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Airbus A350 safety record →

The airline

Air China

Air China operates CA828.

on your lock screen

CA828 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Munich (MUC) → Shanghai (PVG)

Distance
8,787 km
Flight time
11h
Usual departure
12:10 local
Usual arrival
05:10 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent CA828 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Wed 21 Oct A350 Light 13 min early

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through a global weather model, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of CA828 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about CA828

Will CA828 be bumpy?

For the flight on Sun 8 Nov: Smooth most of the way, with some light bumps mid-flight. Barely moves your drink. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies CA828?

Recently CA828 has been flown with: Airbus A350. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is CA828?

About 11h gate to gate from Munich to Shanghai, a distance of about 8,787 km.

What time does CA828 leave?

CA828 usually departs Munich at 12:10 local time and arrives in Shanghai at 05:10 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on CA828?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly CA828 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

CA828Light