flight turbulence forecast

AS1349 turbulence forecast

Alaska Airlines · Portland (PDX) to Phoenix (PHX)

Next departure at its usual time · Sun 8 Nov, 07:00 Portland time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air AS1349 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchModerate

Smooth most of the way, with occasional moderate bumps after takeoff. The belt sign will likely come on.

PDX07:00Portland
2h 52m
PHX09:52Phoenix
Model run 6 Nov, 00:00 UTC · checked just now
PDXPHX
SmoothLightModerateSevere The planned route of AS1349, coloured stretch by stretch by its forecast.
Bumpiest stretch
Moderate
Flight time
2h 52m
Distance
1,627 km
Cruise altitude
35,000 ft
Aircraft
Boeing 737 NG

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 1h2h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

PDX · Take off0m – 26mModerate

Mountain waves

Wind blowing over a mountain range makes waves in the air downstream, the way water ripples over rocks in a stream, and those waves can reach cruising height. They are forecast from the same wind and terrain data used here, so the crew knows where they are before departure.

The first minutes are flown through the lowest, liveliest air. Sun-warmed ground sends up thermals and wind bends around hills, so a bump or two while climbing is normal. It fades as the aircraft climbs into the smoother air above.

Cruise26m – 2h 52mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add AS1349 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest AS1349 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

AS1349 · Thu 29 OctArrived · 16 min early
Departs · PDX
07:01
Scheduled 07:00
Arrives · PHX
09:36
Scheduled 09:52 · Terminal 3

Last update 8 days ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What AS1349 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Boeing 737

Type code
B739
Seats on this flight
178
First flew
1997
In service since
1998
Economy seating
3-3
Engines
2
Cabin pressure equal to
8,000 ft

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Boeing 737 NG safety record →

The airline

Alaska Airlines

Flying since
1932
Alliance
oneworld
Hubs
Seattle–Tacoma, Honolulu, Portland
Country
United States

Alaska Airlines safety record →

on your lock screen

AS1349 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Portland (PDX) → Phoenix (PHX)

Distance
1,627 km
Flight time
2h 52m
Usual departure
07:00 local
Usual arrival
09:52 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent AS1349 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Thu 29 Oct 737-800 Smooth 16 min early

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through a global weather model, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of AS1349 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about AS1349

Will AS1349 be bumpy?

For the flight on Sun 8 Nov: Smooth most of the way, with occasional moderate bumps after takeoff. The belt sign will likely come on. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies AS1349?

Recently AS1349 has been flown with: Boeing 737 NG. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is AS1349?

About 2h 52m gate to gate from Portland to Phoenix, a distance of about 1,627 km.

What time does AS1349 leave?

AS1349 usually departs Portland at 07:00 local time and arrives in Phoenix at 09:52 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on AS1349?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly AS1349 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

AS1349Moderate