flight turbulence forecast

AA95 turbulence forecast

American Airlines · Madrid (MAD) to New York (JFK)

Next departure at its usual time · Sun 8 Nov, 10:55 Madrid time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air AA95 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchLight

Smooth most of the way, with some light bumps after takeoff. Barely moves your drink.

MAD10:55Madrid
8h 10m
JFK13:05New York
Model run 5 Nov, 18:00 UTC · checked just now
MADJFK
SmoothLightModerateSevere The planned route of AA95, coloured stretch by stretch by its forecast.
Bumpiest stretch
Light
Flight time
8h 10m
Distance
5,768 km
Cruise altitude
37,000 ft
Aircraft
Boeing 777

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 1h2h3h4h5h6h7h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 1h 33mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise1h 33m – 2h 2mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise2h 2m – 3h 27mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise3h 27m – 4h 44mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise4h 43m – 6h 15mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise6h 15m – 6h 46mLight

Jet-stream wind shear

Where fast air slides over slower air, usually at the edge of the jet stream, the boundary ripples like a flag. It's the most common kind of turbulence, and it's on the crew's charts before departure. When they meet it, they slow to a set turbulence speed and ride it out.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

Cruise6h 46m – 8h 10mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add AA95 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest AA95 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

AA95 · Thu 5 NovArrived · 13 min early
Departs · MAD
10:54
Scheduled 10:55 · Terminal 4
Arrives · JFK
12:52
Scheduled 13:05 · Terminal 8

Last update 6 h ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What AA95 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Boeing 777-200

Type code
B772
Seats on this flight
273
First flew
1994
In service since
1995
Economy seating
3-4-3
Engines
2
Range
13,890 km
Cabin pressure equal to
8,000 ft

Recently flown with: Boeing 777, Boeing 787 Dreamliner.

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Boeing 777 safety record →

The airline

American Airlines

Flying since
1926
Alliance
oneworld
Hubs
Dallas/Fort Worth, Charlotte, Chicago O'Hare
Country
United States

American Airlines safety record →

on your lock screen

AA95 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Madrid (MAD) → New York (JFK)

Distance
5,768 km
Flight time
8h
Usual departure
10:55 local
Usual arrival
13:55 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent AA95 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Thu 5 Nov 777 Light 13 min early
Mon 2 Nov 777 Light 24 min early
Fri 30 Oct 787 Light On time
Thu 29 Oct 787 Light 25 min early
Wed 28 Oct 787 Light 21 min early
Tue 27 Oct 787 Moderate 53 min late
Sun 25 Oct 787 Light 6 min early
Thu 22 Oct 777 Light 11 min late
Mon 12 Oct 777 Light On time

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through a global weather model, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of AA95 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about AA95

Will AA95 be bumpy?

For the flight on Sun 8 Nov: Smooth most of the way, with some light bumps after takeoff. Barely moves your drink. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies AA95?

Recently AA95 has been flown with: Boeing 777, Boeing 787 Dreamliner. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is AA95?

About 8h gate to gate from Madrid to New York, a distance of about 5,768 km.

What time does AA95 leave?

AA95 usually departs Madrid at 10:55 local time and arrives in New York at 13:55 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on AA95?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly AA95 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

AA95Light