flight turbulence forecast

AA2219 turbulence forecast

American Airlines · Cancun (CUN) to Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW)

Next departure at its usual time · Fri 6 Nov, 14:32 Cancun time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air AA2219 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchSmooth

Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view.

CUN14:32Cancun
3h 12m
DFW16:44Dallas-Fort Worth
Model run 5 Nov, 18:00 UTC · checked just now
CUNDFW
SmoothLightModerateSevere The line is the planned route of AA2219, coloured by its own forecast. The shading is the bumpy air and storms forecast at cruise height around the middle of the flight.
Bumpiest stretch
Smooth
Flight time
3h 12m
Distance
1,659 km
Cruise altitude
35,000 ft
Weather models
4 blended
Model agreement
High
Aircraft
Airbus A320 family

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere 1h2h Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 3h 12mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add AA2219 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest AA2219 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

AA2219 · Thu 5 NovArrived · 16 min early
Departs · CUN
14:20
Scheduled 14:32 · Terminal 3
Arrives · DFW
16:28
Scheduled 16:44 · Terminal D

Last update 5 h ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What AA2219 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Airbus A321

Type code
A321
Seats on this flight
181
First flew
1987
In service since
1988
Economy seating
3-3
Engines
2
Cabin pressure equal to
8,000 ft

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Airbus A320 family safety record →

The airline

American Airlines

Flying since
1926
Alliance
oneworld
Hubs
Dallas/Fort Worth, Charlotte, Chicago O'Hare
Country
United States

American Airlines safety record →

on your lock screen

AA2219 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Cancun (CUN) → Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW)

Distance
1,659 km
Flight time
3h 12m
Usual departure
14:32 local
Usual arrival
16:44 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent AA2219 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Thu 5 Nov A320 Light 16 min early
Wed 4 Nov A320 Light On time

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 4 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The independent weather models behind this forecast agree on this ride.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of AA2219 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about AA2219

Will AA2219 be bumpy?

For the flight on Fri 6 Nov: Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies AA2219?

Recently AA2219 has been flown with: Airbus A320 family. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is AA2219?

About 3h 12m gate to gate from Cancun to Dallas-Fort Worth, a distance of about 1,659 km.

What time does AA2219 leave?

AA2219 usually departs Cancun at 14:32 local time and arrives in Dallas-Fort Worth at 16:44 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on AA2219?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly AA2219 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

AA2219Smooth