flight turbulence forecast

5J477 turbulence forecast

Cebu Pacific · Metro Manila (MNL) to Bacolod City (BCD)

Next departure at its usual time · Sat 7 Nov, 17:55 Metro Manila time

This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air 5J477 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.

Bumpiest stretchSmooth

Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view.

MNL17:55Metro Manila
1h 25m
BCD19:20Bacolod City
Model run 6 Nov, 06:00 UTC · checked just now
MNLBCD
SmoothLightModerateSevere The line is the planned route of 5J477, coloured by its own forecast. The shading is the bumpy air and storms forecast at cruise height around the middle of the flight.
Bumpiest stretch
Smooth
Flight time
1h 25m
Distance
470 km
Cruise altitude
33,000 ft
Weather models
3 blended
Model agreement
High
Aircraft
Airbus A320 family

Bumpiness along the flight

Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.

SmoothLightModerateSevere Take off Landing

Where, and why

The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.

Cruise0m – 1h 25mSmooth

Nothing significant forecast here.

At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.

in the app

This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.

A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add 5J477 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.

Flight status

The latest 5J477 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.

5J477 · Tue 27 OctArrived · 36 min late
Departs · MNL
18:30
Scheduled 17:55 · Terminal 3
Arrives · BCD
19:56
Scheduled 19:20

Last update 10 days ago

Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.

The aircraft

What 5J477 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.

Airbus A320 NEO

Type code
A20N
Seats on this flight
186
First flew
1987
In service since
1988
Economy seating
3-3
Engines
2
Cabin pressure equal to
8,000 ft

Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.

Airbus A320 family safety record →

The airline

Cebu Pacific

Cebu Pacific operates 5J477.

on your lock screen

5J477 without unlocking your phone

Gate, delay, time to landing and the next bumpy stretch, on the lock screen from boarding to the baggage belt.

The route

Metro Manila (MNL) → Bacolod City (BCD)

Distance
470 km
Flight time
1h 25m
Usual departure
17:55 local
Usual arrival
19:20 local

Forecast any other route →

Recent 5J477 flights

The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.

DateAircraftForecastHow it ran
Tue 27 Oct A320 Smooth 36 min late

What each level feels like

Smooth
Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
Light
Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
Moderate
Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
Severe
Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.

How this forecast is made

The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 3 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.

The independent weather models behind this forecast agree on this ride.

Planned route · timing and conditions may change.

the live map

Watch the air along the route move

The app draws the route of 5J477 over the moving forecast: bumpy air, storms and the winds at cruise height. Scrub through the flight hour by hour.

Why turbulence isn't dangerous

Aircraft are designed for much worse.

Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.

Crews know where it is.

Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.

Keep your belt on.

Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.

Is turbulence dangerous? The long answer →

Questions about 5J477

Will 5J477 be bumpy?

For the flight on Sat 7 Nov: Smooth all the way. Sit back and enjoy the view. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.

What plane flies 5J477?

Recently 5J477 has been flown with: Airbus A320 family. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.

How long is 5J477?

About 1h 25m gate to gate from Metro Manila to Bacolod City, a distance of about 470 km.

What time does 5J477 leave?

5J477 usually departs Metro Manila at 17:55 local time and arrives in Bacolod City at 19:20 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.

Is turbulence dangerous on 5J477?

Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.

How accurate is this turbulence forecast?

It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.

flybud

Fly 5J477 knowing what's ahead

The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.

5J477Smooth