4C4016 turbulence forecast
Aires · Bogota (BOG) to Medellin/Rionegro (MDE)
Next departure at its usual time · Mon 9 Nov, 17:00 Bogota time
This date's schedule isn't confirmed yet. This is the air 4C4016 flies through if it leaves at its usual time.
Smooth or light most of the way, with some moderate bumps mid-flight. The belt sign will likely come on.
- Bumpiest stretch
- Moderate
- Flight time
- 1h 5m
- Distance
- 216 km
- Cruise altitude
- 28,000 ft
- Weather models
- 3 blended
- Model agreement
- Low
- Aircraft
- Airbus A320 family
Bumpiness along the flight
Takeoff on the left, landing on the right. The higher the line, the bumpier the air the forecast expects at that moment.
Where, and why
The flight split into stretches: how bumpy each is forecast to be, and what causes it.
BOG · Take off0m – 16mSmooth
Nothing significant forecast here.
The first minutes are flown through the lowest, liveliest air. Sun-warmed ground sends up thermals and wind bends around hills, so a bump or two while climbing is normal. It fades as the aircraft climbs into the smoother air above.
Cruise16m – 35mLight
Mountain waves
Wind blowing over a mountain range makes waves in the air downstream, the way water ripples over rocks in a stream, and those waves can reach cruising height. They are forecast from the same wind and terrain data used here, so the crew knows where they are before departure.
At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.
Cruise35m – 49mModerate
Mountain waves
Wind blowing over a mountain range makes waves in the air downstream, the way water ripples over rocks in a stream, and those waves can reach cruising height. They are forecast from the same wind and terrain data used here, so the crew knows where they are before departure.
At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.
Cruise49m – 58mLight
Mountain waves
Wind blowing over a mountain range makes waves in the air downstream, the way water ripples over rocks in a stream, and those waves can reach cruising height. They are forecast from the same wind and terrain data used here, so the crew knows where they are before departure.
At cruise the air is thin and cold, and most of it is calm. The bumps up here come from the jet stream, a band of fast wind whose edges stir the air, or from waves set off by mountains far below. This forecast shows where those edges are.
Descent into Medellin/Rionegro58m – 1h 5mSmooth
Nothing significant forecast here.
Coming down means flying back through the low, lively air near the ground: afternoon thermals, gusts around the airport. It is the busiest part of the flight for the crew, and the part they train for most.
This forecast changes. FlyBud tells you when.
A new weather model run lands every few hours. Add 4C4016 in FlyBud and you get the full turbulence map along your route, a push when the forecast for your flight changes, live tracking and your flight on the lock screen.
Flight status
The latest 4C4016 flight on our records, as the airline last reported it.
Last update 2 h ago
Gate changes, delays and the baggage belt, pushed to your phone as they happen.
The aircraft
What 4C4016 is flown with, and how it handles bumpy air.
Airbus A320
- Type code
- A320
- Seats on this flight
- 180
- First flew
- 1987
- In service since
- 1988
- Economy seating
- 3-3
- Engines
- 2
- Cabin pressure equal to
- 8,000 ft
Bigger and heavier aircraft are moved less by the same patch of air, and every airliner is designed for much stronger turbulence than it will meet.
The airline
Aires
Aires operates 4C4016.
The route
Bogota (BOG) → Medellin/Rionegro (MDE)
- Distance
- 216 km
- Flight time
- 1h 5m
- Usual departure
- 17:00 local
- Usual arrival
- 18:05 local
Recent 4C4016 flights
The forecast each flight carried, and how it ran.
| Date | Aircraft | Forecast | How it ran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 8 Nov | A320 | Moderate | 27 min early |
What each level feels like
- Smooth
- Calm air. Nothing to notice beyond the hum of the engines.
- Light
- Gentle ripples and the odd dip. Drinks stay put, and walking to the toilet is fine.
- Moderate
- Clear bumps. Drinks may slosh and the belt sign comes on. Uncomfortable, but the pilots stay in full control.
- Severe
- Strong jolts, and loose items can move. This is rare, and it's why the belt sign exists. Crews slow down and change altitude to get out of it.
How this forecast is made
The planned route is sampled from gate to gate at the altitude the aircraft flies, through 3 independent global weather models, and corrected with turbulence reports radioed in by pilots in the last few hours. Each new model run replaces the forecast; nothing here is a guess from the airline's history.
The weather models behind this forecast disagree in places, so treat the timing loosely.
Planned route · timing and conditions may change.
Why turbulence isn't dangerous
Aircraft are designed for much worse.
Airliners are tested to loads well beyond anything turbulence produces. The wings are meant to flex, so seeing them move is normal.
Crews know where it is.
Your crew has forecasts like this one, live reports from other pilots and their own weather radar, and they change altitude to stay out of bumpy air.
Keep your belt on.
Almost all turbulence injuries happen to people who are standing or not buckled in. Seated with your belt on, turbulence is uncomfortable but not dangerous.
Questions about 4C4016
Will 4C4016 be bumpy?
For the flight on Mon 9 Nov: Smooth or light most of the way, with some moderate bumps mid-flight. The belt sign will likely come on. The forecast is replaced with every new weather model run, so check back closer to departure.
What plane flies 4C4016?
Recently 4C4016 has been flown with: Airbus A320 family. Airlines can swap the aircraft until shortly before departure.
How long is 4C4016?
About 1h 5m gate to gate from Bogota to Medellin/Rionegro, a distance of about 216 km.
What time does 4C4016 leave?
4C4016 usually departs Bogota at 17:00 local time and arrives in Medellin/Rionegro at 18:05 local time. Times change; the app tracks the live schedule.
Is turbulence dangerous on 4C4016?
Turbulence is uncomfortable, not dangerous to the aircraft. Airliners are certified for loads far beyond anything turbulence produces, and crews plan around the bumpy patches with the same kind of forecast as this one. Injuries are almost always to people who were standing or unbuckled, so keep your seatbelt fastened whenever you're seated.
How accurate is this turbulence forecast?
It is a forecast, so it is best within a day or so of departure and improves with every model run. The bumpy patches it finds are usually in the right place, but their timing can shift by a few minutes and the crew may change altitude to avoid them, so the ride you get is often smoother than the forecast.
Fly 4C4016 knowing what's ahead
The turbulence forecast for your exact flight, live tracking, delay alerts and arrival weather. Built for people who'd rather know.