The best time to fly to avoid turbulence
Worldwide, February is the bumpiest month to fly and September the calmest. But the answer depends on where: the jet stream is a winter problem, storms a summer one. Here is every region, month by month, and the time of day too.
The bumpiest and calmest months, region by region
How often the air at cruise height over each region is bumpy, in each month. Read along a row to find the calm season where you are flying.
| J | F | M | A | M | J | J | A | S | O | N | D | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North America | 29 | 28 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 21 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 27 | 29 |
| South America | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| Europe | 16 | 15 | 16 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 23 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 16 |
| Asia | 29 | 31 | 32 | 29 | 25 | 19 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 20 | 26 |
| Africa | 18 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 14 |
| Australia and Oceania | 13 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 28 | 33 | 28 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 26 | 17 |
Each number is the % of the time the air at cruise height (about 30,000–34,000 ft) is light-or-worse bumpy in that month, averaged over every year in the report.
Winter is the jet stream. Summer is storms.
The jet stream is driven by the temperature difference between the poles and the tropics, and that difference is largest in winter. So in each hemisphere's winter the jet is fastest, and the wind shear around it, the main source of turbulence at cruise height, is strongest. In the north that is December to March; in the south, June to September.
Summer swaps that for heat. Sun-warmed ground drives rising air, and where there is moisture it builds into thunderstorms. Crews fly around storms, but the air around them is bumpy too. In the tropics the storm season is the wet season, and it moves with the monsoon.
So the calmest time to fly is usually spring or autumn, between the two: the jet has weakened and the storms have not started, or have stopped.
Month by month over the places pilots talk about
| J | F | M | A | M | J | J | A | S | O | N | D | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Atlantic | 41 | 40 | 37 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 29 | 33 | 36 | 41 | 38 |
| Rocky Mountains | 38 | 43 | 37 | 31 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 17 | 22 | 27 | 36 | 40 |
| Andes | 16 | 17 | 18 | 28 | 35 | 42 | 41 | 44 | 40 | 35 | 31 | 26 |
| Himalayas and Tibet | 53 | 54 | 50 | 44 | 37 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 34 | 48 |
| Bay of Bengal | 7 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| Alps | 35 | 31 | 30 | 25 | 20 | 21 | 23 | 20 | 28 | 28 | 36 | 32 |
| Japan | 52 | 55 | 52 | 55 | 52 | 46 | 25 | 22 | 33 | 41 | 50 | 56 |
| Tasman Sea and New Zealand | 26 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 33 |
Each number is the % of the time the air at cruise height (about 30,000–34,000 ft) is light-or-worse bumpy in that month, averaged over every year in the report.
The smoothest time of day to fly
By local departure time, averaged over every ranked route in each region. Mornings are usually calmest over land, before the ground heats up; over the sea, storms peak at night instead.
How to pick a smoother flight
- ✓Fly early in the day in summer and in the tropics, before the ground heats up and storms build.
- ✓Avoid the local winter on jet-stream routes: Japan, Korea, the North Atlantic and the southern Andes are calmest from late spring to early autumn.
- ✓Over mountains, watch the wind, not the calendar. A calm day over the Rockies or the Alps can be glassy in any month.
- ✓Check the forecast for your actual flight. The season tells you the odds; the forecast tells you the day.
Questions about the best time to fly
What is the best month to fly to avoid turbulence?
Worldwide, September. For a specific region, read along its row in the month-by-month table above: in the northern hemisphere the calm season is late spring to early autumn, in the south it is the southern summer.
What time of day is best to fly to avoid turbulence?
Over land, the morning. The ground has not heated up, so there are no thermals near the airport and the afternoon storms have not built. Over warm seas, storms peak at night instead, so the advantage is smaller there.
Is turbulence worse in winter or summer?
At cruise height, winter, because the jet stream is strongest. Near the ground and in the tropics, summer, because of heat and storms. Which one you notice depends on the route.
Is it smoother to fly at night?
Over land, often: no thermals, and most inland storms collapse after sunset. But the jet stream does not care what time it is, so a winter night flight under it is no smoother than a day one.
A ranking is the average. Your flight is one day.
FlyBud forecasts the turbulence along your actual route, at your actual time, and updates it as new weather comes in.